Saturday, January 28, 2012

Solar Flares Could Cripple Earth's Tech Infrastructure in 2013

Solar Flares Could Cripple Earth's Tech Infrastructure in 2013

 

Solar Flares Could Cripple Earth's Tech Infrastructure in 2013

This week's solar flare will likely go unnoticed by most people on Earth, but NASA says that might not be the case two years from now, when a peak in solar activity could cause trillions of dollars in damage to our high-tech infrastructure.
The sun released a huge solar flare Tuesday, shooting a bunch of radiation in our direction. While the Earth isn't expected to take a direct hit from the flare, it could rub up against the planet's electromagnetic field on Thursday, possibly disrupting radio and satellite transmissions, not to mention creating some spectacular auroral light displays for those in the north.
Solar Flares Could Cripple Earth's Tech Infrastructure in 2013Solar weather runs in cycles, and the current cycle is expected to peak in 2013.NASA is calling the flare medium-sized and the biggest one seen in the last five years, but it's nothing compared to something called the "Carrington Event" in 1859, a huge solar flare that set telegraph machines on fire and produced an auroral glow in many parts of the world bright enough to read by. Even when telegraph operators disconnected their batteries, "aurora-induced electric currents in the wires still allowed messages to be transmitted," according to a NASA historical account.
Solar weather runs in cycles, and the current cycle is expected to peak in 2013, and it's during that time that we're most likely to see something like the Carrington Event. Only problem is that if such an event happened today, it would cause much, much more damage than it did in the 19th century.
"The sun is waking up from a deep slumber, and in the next few years we expect to see much higher levels of solar activity," Richard Fisher, head of NASA's Heliophysics Division, said last year. "At the same time, our technological society has developed an unprecedented sensitivity to solar storms."
Basically, if the sun were to send a massive shipment of electromagnetic radiation our way, it could knock out the backbone of our digital civilization, taking power grids, satellites and other communications systems offline for hours, possibly even days. There's also the possibility for damage to that infrastructure that could run into the trillions of dollars.

NASA Footage of the June 7 Solar Flare

Fortunately, there are precautions, such as back-up systems, that can be put in place, and solar weather watchers have been urging politicians to do so through conferences and other efforts over the past few years. Whether we'll be ready when the solar "Big One" comes remains to be seen, but scientists say it's not an apocalyptic scenario.
So, presuming that the world doesn't end with the Mayan calendar in 2012, it also won't end with a huge solar flare in 2013, but it definitely has the potential to ruin a day or two.

Would you recommend this story? YES297 NO11
end quote. 
Though this story was written in 2011 about a much weaker Solar Storm than we just had, it is important that designers of electrical technology of all kinds think about what a Class 5 Coronal Mass ejection might do to their hardware, wherever it is installed. Those who find ways to mitigate CME potential problems might still be in business after 2013 and those who don't might not. What is the liability, for example, if a company's electrical or electronic part fails and 1 or more people die even if it is caused by a Coronal Mass Ejection? I don't know the answer to this but likely we will find out more about this during the next few years. If you consider the following true story it is definitely something to think about regarding CME's.

On June 4, 1989, a gas pipeline explosion demolished part of the Trans-Siberian Railway, engulfing two passenger trains in flames and killing 500 people.
Unlike the Siberian pipeline, the Alaskan oil pipeline built during the mid-1970s is a newer technology specifically designed to minimize corrosive currents now well known to modern pipeline engineers. end quote. So a Coronal Mass ejection was the direct cause of the deaths of 500 people when it exploded a pipeline and engulfed 2 passenger trains in Russia in 1989. 

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