Monday, March 28, 2011

There is no reason for the next Nuclear accident to be like any previous Ones

To read full article that I quote from below click on "Radioactive Cloud over World Nuclear Renaissance" below. I also tried a Google Translate on it because I found the information very helpful so I converted it to Japanese so I hope it's useful with a mechanical translation.
begin quote:
Based on the impact of the accident, the severity level of Fukushima has been revised from 4 to 5, on par with Three Mile Island but below Chernobyl. French authorities have argued that the Fukushima accident should be considered to be at severity level of 6. There is little doubt that most experts now regard the Fukushima accident to be the most serious after Chernobyl, with no guarantee as yet of the crisis dying down.
At the superficial level, the discussion is whether the back-up generators should have been placed in low lying bunkers and should the sea-walls protecting the plant from tsunami have been higher. Similarly, should the spent fuel rods have been stored on the 4th floor of the reactor buildings. This is distracting attention from the larger issue – no two accidents in the nuclear plants have been similar. While it is important to learn from past mistakes, there is no reason to believe that the next major accident will follow the pattern of any previous accident.
It is interesting to note why the Fukushima plant had its back-up power sources in low lying bunkers – they thought the main danger to these came from typhoons or aerial attacks, therefore the bunkers. If a typhoon, which is also quite common in Japan, had hit Fukushima and the back-up generators had been placed at a higher level, we might well be arguing that they should been placed in bunkers and below ground. end quote.

No matter how a nuclear power plant might be constructed it is obvious to me now that in one way or another they are all vulnerable to a greater or lesser degree to this kind of 9.0 Earthquake and tsunami. A volcanic eruption and earthquake nearby might produce similar problems in some ways to this one as well. However, I still can't see how they can pour concrete on the spent fuel rods on the 4th floor without bringing all 4 floors crashing down and radiating everyone in the area by so doing before they can cover up the mess at that point with cement. In many different ways this nuclear event is much much more complicated to solve than any other nuclear power plant event so far in the history of earth that I know of. There may NOT be a resolution that Japan can live with and I unfortunately feel that evacuating more and more of Japan for 10s to 20s to 30s of years might be the only viable solution to this problem in the long run. Even though this is unthinkable now I feel it likely is coming within 6 months to a year from now. I don't know quite how it will play out but I sense something like this coming.

Like I said before in another article. The after effects on the world of this catastrophe are maybe hundreds to thousands of times worse to deal with than 9-11 and all its after effects. The event we are now witnessing may in the end be compared to World War II in the ongoing intensity and harm it brings to people all over the world. This is my concern as a life long intuitive. I hope I'm wrong.

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