Syrian Proxy War gets Worse

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New Weapons Push Syrian Crisis Toward Civil War

Associated Press

Rebel fighters with the Free Syrian Army, a loose federation of militias across the country, at a house in Aleppo on Tuesday.

By MARK LANDLER and NEIL MacFARQUHAR

Published: June 13, 2012

WASHINGTON — With evidence that powerful new weapons are flowing to both the Syrian government and opposition fighters, the bloody uprising in Syria has thrust the Obama administration into an increasingly difficult position as the conflict shows signs of mutating into a full-fledged civil war.

Robert King/Polaris

Relatives of Ahmad Mussa Shamseddin and others who were close to him mourned in May after he was killed by a sniper while he was walking the streets of Qusayr.

Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said on Tuesday that the United States believed that Russia was shipping attack helicopters to Syria that President Bashar al-Assad could use to escalate his government’s deadly crackdown on civilians and the militias battling his rule. Her comments reflected rising frustration with Russia, which has continued to supply weapons to its major Middle Eastern ally despite an international outcry over the government’s brutal crackdown.

“We have confronted the Russians about stopping their continued arms shipments to Syria,” Mrs. Clinton said at an appearance with President Shimon Peres of Israel. “They have, from time to time, said that we shouldn’t worry; everything they’re shipping is unrelated to their actions internally. That’s patently untrue.”

Russia insists that it provides Damascus only with weapons that can be used in self-defense.

The Syrian Foreign Ministry on Wednesday strongly rejected talk of civil war, describing the conflict instead as a “war against the armed groups which chose terrorism as their way to achieve their objectives and conspire against the present and future of the Syrian people,” according to a statement quoted by the state-run SANA news agency.

In the latest reports from the front lines of the swirling conflict, the activist Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, based in Britain, said on Wednesday that rebel forces had pulled out of villages around the besieged northwestern town of Al Heffa, where on Tuesday a team of United Nations cease-fire monitors retreated when hostile crowds struck their vehicles with stones and metal rods, said a spokeswoman.

Shortly after the reported retreat, Syrian government forces claimed to have overrun the area. SANA said the authorities had “restored security and calm,” killing “many” rebels, arresting others and capturing “huge amounts of advanced weapons” including sniper rifles, explosives, ammunition and rocket-propelled grenades. An unspecified number of government soldiers were killed or wounded, SANA said. It is usually difficult to verify reports of developments on the ground since reporters have difficulty in working freely in Syria.

As fighting intensified across Syria on Tuesday, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported that more than 60 people had been killed in the fighting, one-third of them government soldiers, while the United Nations released a report saying that Syrians as young as 8 had been deployed by government soldiers and pro-government militia members as human shields.

The fierce government assaults from the air are partly a response to improved tactics and weaponry among the opposition forces, which have recently received more powerful antitank missiles from Turkey, with the financial support of Saudi Arabia and Qatar, according to members of the Syrian National Council, the main opposition group in exile, and other activists.

The United States, these activists said, was consulted about these weapons transfers. Officials in Washington said the United States did not take part in arms shipments to the rebels, though they recognized that Syria’s neighbors would do so, and that it was important to ensure that weapons did not end up in the hands of Al Qaeda or other terrorist groups.

The increased ferocity of the attacks and the more lethal weapons on both sides threatened to overwhelm diplomatic efforts to resolve the crisis. Kofi Annan, the special envoy of the United Nations and the Arab League, continued to pressure Damascus to halt the violence and to respect a cease-fire. But Mrs. Clinton said that if Mr. Assad did not stop the violence by mid-July, the United Nations would have little choice but to end its observer mission in the country.

Mrs. Clinton, State Department officials said, continues to push for a “managed transition,” under which Mr. Assad would step aside. Russia’s role is viewed as critical, however, and Mrs. Clinton’s claims about helicopter shipments are certain to increase tensions with Moscow less than a week before President Obama is scheduled to meet with President Vladimir V. Putin at a summit meeting in Mexico.

Administration officials declined to give details about the helicopters, saying the information was classified. But Pentagon sources suggested that Mrs. Clinton, in her remarks at a Brookings Institution event, was referring to a Russian-made attack helicopter that Syria already owns but has not yet deployed to crack down on opposition forces. While these helicopters, known as Mi-24s, are flown by Syrian pilots, Russia supplies spare parts and provides maintenance for them.

A Pentagon spokesman, Capt. John Kirby, said the precise status of the helicopters was not as important as the violence being directed against opponents of the Syrian government. “The focus really needs to be more on what the Assad regime is doing to its own people than the cabinets and the closets to which they turn to pull stuff out.” Captain Kirby said. “It’s really about what they’re doing with what they’ve got in their hand.”

The use of helicopters is contributing to a growing sense that, as Hervé Ladsous, the head of United Nations peacekeeping operations, put it, the fighting could be characterized as a civil war.

“The government of Syria lost some large chunks of territories and several cities to the opposition and wants to retake control of these areas,” Mr. Ladsous said at the United Nations. “So now we have confirmed reports not only of the use of tanks and artillery, but also attack helicopters.”

The Syrian Foreign Ministry, in its statement on Wednesday, singled out Mr. Ladsous for criticism over his remarks. “Any talk about ’civil war’ in Syria doesn’t respond to the reality and contradicts the nature of the Syrian People,” the statement said.

Opposition leaders too are wary of the term civil war because it suggests that the conflict is somehow an even match.

“Civil war will not come suddenly in one day or two or five, but you have to look how things are gradually changing on the ground,” said Samir Nachar, a member of the executive committee of the Syrian National Council. “Can you say to people, ‘Don’t defend yourselves?’ It is impossible.”

Council members on Tuesday were also wary of reading too much into Mrs. Clinton’s claim, suggesting that it was an open secret for months that the Russians were supplying weapons to Syria. There have been repeated reports of Russian armament ships docking in Syria, although Moscow has always denied that they were carrying the arms used to suppress the protests.

Speaking in Istanbul, council members also described efforts to supply the opposition with arms, specifically antitank weaponry delivered by Turkish Army vehicles to the Syrian border, where it was then transferred to smugglers who took it into Syria.

Turkey has repeatedly denied that it is giving anything other than humanitarian aid to the opposition, mostly at refugee camps near the border. It has recently made those camps harder to visit: permission was not granted to two reporters in the vicinity for five days last week. Turkey did not act alone, but with financial support from Qatar and Saudi Arabia and after consultation with the United States, said these officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity because of the subject’s diplomatic delicacy.

The more powerful weapons have been delivered as far south as the suburbs of Damascus, but not into Damascus itself, they said. The presence of the antitank missiles seems to have made government forces hesitant to move their tanks around urban centers, according to sources in the Syrian National Council. But they have done nothing to stem the violence.

For the Pentagon, the debate over Russia’s rearming of Syria took an odd twist on Tuesday when Senator John Cornyn, a Texas Republican, complained that the United States military was buying attack helicopters for Afghan security forces from the same Russian weapons company supplying the Assad government.

George Little, the Pentagon press secretary, defended the purchases of the Mi-17 helicopters from the Russian company, Rosoboronexport, as important to helping Afghanistan create a credible self-defense force, and said the issue was separate from the concern over arms shipments to Syria that were used by the government to kill civilians.

“It’s about equipping the Afghan air force with what they need to ensure that they have the capabilities from an air standpoint to defend themselves,” Mr. Little said.

Mark Landler reported from Washington, and Neil MacFarquhar from Beirut, Lebanon. Reporting was contributed by Thom Shanker and Eric Schmitt from Washington, Ellen Barry from Moscow, Sebnem Arsu from Istanbul, and Alan Cowell from London.

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http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/14/world/middleeast/new-weapons-push-syrian-crisis-toward-civil-war.html

As Iran ratchets up soldiers and weapons fighting in Syria and Russia ratchets up the weapons on one side the whole middle east and all Sunni peoples bring in weapons on the other side too. On top of this likely Europeans and Americans might be donating money for weapons too to Syrian Rebels. And on top of this since Al Qaida is Sunni Muslim it would logically side with the rebels as well. And then there are the 12,000 Nato troops training in Jordan in case this gets just too out of hand and starts spreading across borders into other middle eastern countries. At present this has the makings of a real problem ongoing in the middle east for years to come that is reminiscent of Cold War conflicts from the late 1940s until around 1990.