Friday, December 21, 2012

The Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt

I had a very unsettling thought as an intuitive. I really don't like it when this happens but I could see clearly now that there is a 50% to 75% chance now that 1 to 2 years from now Egypt will resemble Syria now. Hopefully, by that time Assad will be gone and some kind of democracy is working in Syria. But one never knows. Here is the statement that gave me this intuitive insight:

begin quote: "---Having won the presidency (The Muslim Brotherhood) with a narrow majority, the Ikahwan---as it is called in Arabic--- has split Egypt nearly as evenly as the Nile, dividing its population once more over the question of just what the Brothers really want." on page 28 of the December 24th 2012 Time magazine.

As an intuitive reading this my insight was: "My God. I think Egypt is going to fracture like Syria did!"  A good question then might be: "If Egypt fractures and the Liberals get arms from Europeans like Syrian Rebels and Libyan Rebels got arms from Sunni sympathizers throughout the middle east and world, what will that do? Also, what will the Egyptian Army and the rest of the military and police forces do? All these questions and many more will likely be answered the next year or two by all of us as we likely witness the next country and government to fall in the middle east.

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