Widespread Terror Network Grows as U.S. leaves Afghanistan

 

World View: Threat of Widespread Terror Network Grows as U.S. Leaves Afghanistan

According to an analysis by Russia's military intelligence agency, the GRU, the withdrawal of Western forces from Afghanistan in 2014 poses a "serious challenge to international stability" and increase the threat of terrorism and religious extremism.

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World View: Threat of Widespread Terror Network Grows as U.S. Leaves Afghanistan

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by John J. Xenakis 25 May 2013, 1:03 AM PDT 3 post a comment

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com:

• Egypt, Hamas, Israel cooperate as Sinai becomes more volatile
• Threat of widespread terror network grows as U.S. leaves Afghanistan

Egypt, Hamas, Israel cooperate as Sinai becomes more volatile 

Egypt's Sinai Peninsula region, where the borders of Gaza, Israel and Egypt all converge, is becoming an increasing threat to Egypt, because of Bedouin unrest and jihadist terrorism. Tensions have been high in the Sinai since six Egyptian policemen and a soldier were kidnapped ten days ago by a Bedouin tribe allied with al-Qaeda linked terrorists. The hostages were finally released on Wednesday, but there's no guarantee that there won't be more kidnappings, and Morsi has announced that there will be a new military operation in the Sinai to arrest the kidnappers.
When the Muslim Brotherhood's candidate Mohamed Morsi beause president of Egypt in July of last year, the leaders of Hamas rejoiced. When Hamas was formed over 30 years ago, it was actually an offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood. And now, with a Brotherhood candidate in power in Egypt, Hamas foresaw a new era of freedom and joy for the residents of Gaza, after years of alleged oppression by the Israelis. Well, like so many other hopes and dreams in people's lives, this one didn't turn out the way they had hoped. Morsi's relations with Hamas officials have been quite frosty and, in particular, Morsi suggested that Hamas or other Gaza militants might have been responsible for the jihadist murder, in August of last year, of 16 policemen and soldiers in Egypt's Sinai, where the borders of Gaza, Israel and Egypt all converge. Morsi sternly warned Hamas, "May God help you if we find your fingerprints on what happened in the Sinai." Those suspicions were renewed by last week's Sinai kidnappings, and Hamas scrambled to assure the Egyptians that it had nothing to do with them.
Remarkably, the terrorists in Sinai are accomplishing something that any "peace process" had failed to do: Bring about cooperation among Israel, Hamas and Egypt in fighting a common enemy. Al-Monitor and Jerusalem Post

Threat of widespread terror network grows as U.S. leaves Afghanistan

The jihadist network in Kazakhstan, inspired and financed by al-Qaeda, the Taliban and the Caucasus Emirate, has shifted from a loose grouping of largely autonomous militias into a unified movement that threatens not only Kazakhstan but all of Central Asia. Islamist groups in Kazakhstan are seeking to form an independent jihadist network like the one that exists in Russia's North Caucasus and then to pursue the establishment of a sharia state. That the goals of the Kazakhstani and North Caucasian groups are so similar reflects the influence of North Caucasus terrorist Said Buryatsky, who visited Kazakhstan between 2004 and 2006. Buryatsky's ideas are featured on many radical Islamist websites even now, and are often reflected in the thinking of Salafi groups in Central Asia.
According to an analysis by Russia's military intelligence agency, the GRU, the withdrawal of Western forces from Afghanistan in 2014 poses a "serious challenge to international stability" and increase the threat of terrorism and religious extremism:

A diversified terrorist network, including suicide bomber training camps has already been established in the country and the Taliban has close links with foreign terrorist structures whose militants, having gained combat experience in Afghanistan, could be sent to other hot spots across the world.

Combined with the rise of militias in Central Asia, as well as the disintegration of Syria, al-Qaeda linked groups could use force to establish "a global caliphate" from Morocco to Malaysia. Jamestown and Ria Novosti
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World View: Threat of Widespread Terror Network Grows as U.S. Leaves Afghanistan

One of the reasons a terror network grows is because of drone strikes. It has been said that possibly for every 1 terrorist leader killed through a drone strike up to 10 recruits are made by people's reactions on the ground to this death along with the deaths of nearby people to that drone strike.

Though it likely is important to reduce terrorist leaders if you are creating 10 terrorists every time you kill a terrorist leader this might be something to think about as well. However, from a strategic point of view every time a terrorist leader is executed you might be preventing 100 civilian deaths or more in the western world. But still, you are going to have to deal with the 10 new terrorist soldiers that are created by every drone strike on the ground. So, this might be something to consider.