IRBIL, Iraq — Iraq’s crisis has gone from bad to worse in two weeks
of fighting in which Sunni Muslims have asserted control over a growing
area, including at least two towns that lie on a supply route linking
Baghdad with the mostly Shiite south, Kurdish officials said Tuesday.
The
fall of towns in an area that U.S. troops knew as the “triangle of
death” because of its propensity for violence provided an ominous signal
that the main insurgent group, the Islamic State of Iraq and the
Levant, and its Sunni allies are working to encircle Baghdad, the
Kurdish officials said.
“The picture is no longer scary,” said
Shafin Dizayee, the spokesman for the autonomous Kurdistan Regional
Government in Irbil. “It has become close to a nightmare scenario.”
Secretary
of State John Kerry met with the president of Iraq’s Kurdish region,
Massoud Barzani, and urged him not to seek his own state and instead to
help form a multisectarian government in Baghdad.
“We are facing a new reality and a new Iraq,” Barzani told Kerry.
Another
Kurdish official, Jabbar Yawar, the spokesman for the Kurdish peshmerga
militia, said Islamic State fighters apparently had seized control of
the towns of Iskandariya and Mahmoudiya, south of Baghdad, and were
reported in some instances to be just 6 miles from Baghdad.
“This
area controls access to southern Iraq, and it appears as if they might
try to push into Baghdad or even south toward the city of Hilla,” he
said.
Southern Iraq is mostly Shiite, and it supports the
embattled government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Malaki. Thousands of
young men from the south have flocked to Baghdad to bolster the flagging
army. Many observers have assumed that the flow of southern militiamen
would help stem an advance by Islamic State fighters that has captured
much of northern and central Iraq in the weeks since the city of Mosul
fell under their control June 10.
But the loss of the southern
approaches to the capital would change that calculus and add to the
sense that Baghdad was being isolated. On Sunday, Iraqi soldiers lost
control of the last major crossing point to Syria, and on Monday gunmen
allied with the Islamic State took control of Tirbil, Iraq’s only land
crossing to Jordan. Anbar province, west of Baghdad, has been largely
under the sway of the Islamic State since last year, and the group is
now contesting government forces in Diyala and Salahuddin provinces, to
the capital’s north and east.
As one town after another has
fallen, the Iraqi government has insisted that most of the lost
territory remains in government hands. But officials of the Kurdistan
Regional Government provide a different view. Their assessment of what’s
taking place in Iraq also matches that of a U.S. defense official, who
said the Islamic State and its allies were consolidating control of the
Euphrates River valley in apparent preparation for attacks on Baghdad.
The
official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Iraqi security
forces were struggling to establish a defensive line centered on
Samarra, a city that controls the northern approaches to Baghdad. In a
separate briefing, a senior U.S. intelligence official said Islamic
State fighters were also menacing the Iraqi air base at Balad, the
country’s largest military installation.
Meanwhile, Syrian
government aircraft bombed Sunni militant targets inside Iraq on
Tuesday, further broadening the Middle Eastern crisis a day after
Israeli warplanes and rockets struck targets inside Syria.
Iraqi
news media reported that at least 20 people were killed and 93 injured
in the strike by Syrian jets in the Iraqi border town of Qaim, now
controlled by the Islamic States. Western officials confirmed the
attack.
On Monday, Israeli warplanes and rockets struck nine
targets, including what the Israel Defense Forces said was a Syrian
military command headquarters, in retaliation for a missile attack from
Syria on Sunday that killed one Israeli and wounded another in the Golan
Heights.
The only good news for the al-Maliki government, the
Kurdish officials said, appeared to come from Beiji, where, the Kurds
said, government troops remain in control of at least part of Iraq’s
largest oil refinery. A government pullout from the refinery, which some
news outlets reported Tuesday, would be an economic disaster for the
government and a boon for the Islamic State. The facility produces 60
percent of Iraq’s gasoline.
So far, Islamic State fighters and
their allies have mostly avoided direct confrontation with the Kurds’
peshmerga militia, which has a reputation for military effectiveness.
The peshmerga also has largely avoided direct confrontations with the
Sunni insurgents, refusing to assist Iraq’s army beyond establishing a
security line outside Kurdish territory, which stretches from the
northern borders with Syria and Turkey south to the Iranian border. That
Kurdish arc has remained more or less peaceful since the rebellion
began.
The peshmerga also quickly occupied areas of the split
Arab-Kurdish city of Kirkuk in the wake of the army’s retreat. The
Kurdish government has long coveted Kirkuk for its symbolism as an
ancient Kurdish city and its rich oilfields.
The Kurds’ expansion
has put them in a position to demand more autonomy in political talks
over Iraq’s future. But it might also complicate the effort to cobble
together a new Iraqi government, particularly one that does not include
al-Maliki, long accused of autocratic tendencies by Iraqi politicians.
U.S.
officials have made clear privately that they would support the
selection of a new prime minister if al-Maliki’s rivals would unite
behind an alternative. But it is uncertain whether Sunni and Kurdish
political parties can find enough common ground in forming a new
government now that the Kurdish militia has taken control of Kirkuk.
“Ousting
Maliki will require the cooperation of all the other blocs,” said Ramzy
Mardini, an expert on Iraq and a nonresident fellow at the Atlantic
Council, a Washington-based independent research organization.
“But
Iraq isn’t a place where collective interests reign over parochial
ones,” Mardini said. “The crisis is creating new facts on the ground and
will likely affect how the next government is formed.”
McClatchy Newspapers,
end quote from:
As Baghdad's grip fails, Iraq is a 'nightmare,' Kurd warns
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