Monday, July 27, 2015

Cramer: We are China. Let's stop kidding ourselves

 I don't completely agree with this article. What I do agree about is that the Chinese market is completely phony now because the Government has corrupted the market. They would have had a crash like we did in 1929 if the government hadn't majorly  interfered. What I think is crazy is to be in the Chinese market right now because it's rigged and it's not rigged in foreignors best interests but only in the governing party's best interests. It is rigged to only the interests of the Chinese Communist party. In other words insider trading is the nature of investors who are members of the party. Therefore anyone else is likely going to lose and lose big at some point. This is the problem.

The next time you look at almost everything you own look where it's made. This is the problem for the U.S. and Europe. If China implodes or explodes you might not be able to buy these products from China because it might be a mess (or maybe that would be covered up too) I don't know.

Cramer: We are China. Let's stop kidding ourselves













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<p>Cramer: We are China</p> <p>Is the U.S. market hostage to China? Mad Money host Jim Cramer shares his final thoughts of the day on what China means for your money. </p>
Jim Cramer knows that no one wants to hear this, but we are China. It's true.
When Cramer got up at 4 a.m. on Monday the Chinese market was down 8 percent, a true crash, and the S&P 500 futures were flat. Sure enough, when investors woke up the futures were smashed, down 0.6 percent.
Some say that Cramer's theory is completely ridiculous; they think that the U.S. has nothing to do with China. They believe that our markets are not linked because when the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index nearly doubled from November to June, the U.S. market did not double along with it.
So, why the heck would we be affected now that the Shanghai composite has fallen to 3,726 from from 5,191?

ChinaFotoPress | ChinaFotoPress | Getty Images
"The answer? Simple: because in a world where there is very little growth, we need every country to do its part to get the global economy expanding, and the stock market complex in China is doing the exact opposite," the "Mad Money" host said.
Plus, the "floor" of support in China is completely false. The Chinese government has taken desperate measures to prop up its market, such as the 1,400 stocks that were suspended, stocks that have stopped trading, new IPOs that have been cancelled and the banning of all short-selling.
It's just plain lunacy to Cramer that the Chinese market could still be up 15 percent for the year, let alone stand on its own two feet.
So, why should investors in the U.S. care?
First, there is a huge number of large American companies that export to China. Second, because it is now widely known that the Chinese communist government is not as shrewd or masterful as once thought. And third, because the U.S. market is always held hostage by futures trading, which tends to be a reaction to whatever bad is happening overseas.
Some might think that is silly, but it's a fact of life for Cramer.
And it's not like China was doing well in the first place. All of the indicators of economic growth are trending lower. The only shred of hope that Cramer sees is that the Baltic Freight Index still holds up, but that's it.
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Read more from Mad Money with Jim Cramer
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"So, we are China, whether we like it or not. Let's stop kidding ourselves. We will trade with the PRC on the way down," Cramer said.
The only stocks that the "Mad Money" host thinks will propel the market higher once the smoke clears are the domestic and high-growth tech names like FANG—Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google.
Investors got used to it with Greece, and now Cramer says to get used to it with China. Until things turn around in the U.S., or Cramer starts to see signs that the Chinese economy is more resilient than its stock market, our market will be held hostage to China. End of story.
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end quote from:
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/07/27/cramer-we-are-china-lets-stop-kidding-ourselves.html?

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