The U.S. and Europe are not the threat that ISIS is to Iran. ISIS is the sum total of the hatred from all Sunnis around the world (1.1 billion of them versus 165 million Shiites). So, understanding this we also understand why Iran likely cannot abide by the treaty they just signed with the U.S. , Europe and the world.
So, if people understand that Iran in it's own way is fighting for survival against ISIS first and next against Al Qaeda and everyone else arrayed against them, what Iran is doing will make a whole lot more sense.
The U.S. has never been Iran's primary enemy. However, politically it was and maybe still is expedient to call American "The Great Satan" because of what happened with the U.S. and European Puppet, the Shah of Iran. The U.S. and Europe wanted Iran's oil so in the 1950s they installed the Shah of Iran to lead Iran and many people living in Iran were very upset about this.
However, now most voters in Iran were born AFTER the 1979 and 1980 Ayatolla takeover and after the kidnapping of American Embassy workers.
Masoumeh Ebtekar, interpreter and spokesperson of the student group that occupied the U.S Embassy in 1979, an Iranian scientist, ... Irania
So, most of the problems the U.S. has had with Iran is around the kidnapping of "Fifty-two American diplomats and citizens were held hostage for 444 days (November 4, 1979, to January 20, 1981)".
So, there is still a great deal of anger in the U.S. regarding "Any" nation doing something like this to the U.S.
And this kidnapping ended the Carter Administration after only one term also.
So, understanding that presently the biggest single threat to Iran is ISIS as well as all the people in Sunni nations funding and supporting ISIS in any way is important for the world to understand.
So, the threat of the U.S. is mostly in their minds in Iran but it isn't really a real thing (unless one day the U.S. feels forced to nuke Iran out of existence) because Iran majorly attacked Israel or Europe or something like this. And despite all the rhetoric I think it is much more likely that Israel would attack Iran than Iran attacking Israel.
However, it is possible that Iran would fund Hezbollah to attack Israel through Lebanon with missiles or a direct attack. So, this is an ongoing problem for everyone.
So, the most dangerous things for the world regarding the middle East are potential proxy wars of Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Hezbollah potentially attacking Israel. All these proxy wars are flashpoints where the whole world one day might light up in bombs and missiles going everywhere at once. So, this agreement might stop Iran from developing Nuclear weapons for a few more years in this sort of insane process of proxy wars and a new type of Cold War forming the last 5 years ago or so in the Middle East that likely is party a result of Arab Spring. Though a lot of good came from Arab Spring, the resistance to Arab Spring by Iran, Russia and some Sunni nations has made of the Middle East a Blood Bath that doesn't look like it will settle down anytime soon.
So, the real danger to the whole world is ISIS, Syria, Iraq and Yemen for now, and how this affects oil supplies and oil prices ongoing for the world.
The whole world runs on the price and availability of oil. Without oil at a good price the world will fall into an economic depression or worse. So, my concern is the 50% of the nations that are the poorest who might not survive as nations if the availability and price of oil is too high for them to endure.
Because food also moves on oil and so does the growing of food in most countries.
No comments:
Post a Comment