Hillary Clinton crushes Bernie Sanders in South Carolina: 5 takeaways
Story highlights
- Clinton's firewall not only held, but her blowout win gives her new momentum into Super Tuesday
- 84% of African-American voters went for Clinton
(CNN)Hillary Clinton saw Bernie Sanders' New Hampshire blowout and raised him one in South Carolina.
Riding
the strength of her support among African-Americans to a resounding
victory in the Palmetto State, Clinton seized the momentum in the
Democratic presidential race -- winning her third of four early-state
contests just three days before the race goes national on Super Tuesday.
Here are five takeaways from South Carolina's Democratic primary:
Clinton's going national
It
was a bumpy ride through the early states -- but Clinton's firewall of
minority support held, helping her seal a close contest in Nevada and
then turn South Carolina into her first dominant win of the 2016 race.
Headed into Super Tuesday, the confidence Clinton's campaign had after
October and November is back.
"Tomorrow,
this campaign goes national," Clinton said in her victory speech. "We
are going to compete for every vote in every state. We are not taking
anything and we are not taking anyone for granted."
The
South Carolina win is especially important because of what it means for
the 11 Democratic contests that are on tap for Tuesday.
Clinton
is eyeing six Southern states with heavy minority populations as a way
to lock in a clear delegate advantage. She's hoping for big wins in
Texas, Georgia, Virginia, Tennessee, Alabama and Arkansas.
Sanders,
meanwhile, has his home state of Vermont locked in, and he's hoping for
wins in Colorado, Minnesota, Massachusetts and Oklahoma.
Clinton's
South Carolina blowout effectively guarantees that Sanders will have to
scrap for those states -- and would struggle to expand his playing
field, leaving Clinton's six targets intact.
Clinton's minority support
South
Carolina's electorate climbed from 55% African-American in 2008 to 62%
in 2016. And the vast majority of those voters -- 84% -- backed Clinton,
according to exit polls.
The former
secretary of state isn't messing around in courting black voters: She
had Morgan Freeman narrate campaign ads. She had strong allies like
South Carolina Democratic Rep. Jim Clyburn on her side. She has leaned
hard into her alliance with the White House, saying Saturday night she
wants to "build on the record and accomplishments of President Obama."
She has contrasted sharply with Sanders on issues like gun control and
portrayed him as a one-note candidate concerned only about income
inequality.
To underscore her support
on issues important to African-Americans, Clinton highlighted the role
that five mothers of black victims of gun violence who campaigned
alongside her in South Carolina.
"They
all lost children, which is almost unimaginable. Yet they have not been
broken or embittered. Instead, they have channeled their sorrow into a
strategy and their mourning into a movement," she said.
Two
more important exit poll findings: Most voters say race relations
haven't improved in recent years -- and very few Democratic voters trust
Sanders more than Clinton on race-related issues.
Sanders' not-quite revolution
It's not like Sanders woke up Saturday morning expecting a win.
He
practically conceded the state on the eve of the Nevada contest by
declaring it was "on to Super Tuesday." He spent the day in Texas and
Minnesota instead. He didn't even plan a speech after the results were
announced.
But perception isn't quite
reality: Sanders' investment in South Carolina reveals a campaign that
was hopeful his message of tackling economic inequality and reforming
the criminal justice system would both make the state competitive and
show he could win minority voters in other Democratic primaries.
He
invested $2 million in advertisements, some featuring Spike Lee. His
campaign had nearly 200 staffers in the state. And he opened 11 South
Carolina offices.
The results revealed
two big problems for Sanders. One is that he hasn't made the inroads
he'd hoped for among African-American voters. Almost as significantly,
he couldn't turn out the young voters age 18-29 who are the single
strongest constituency of his campaign. Those voters made up just 13% of
South Carolina's electorate, according to early exit polls, after
comprising about one-in-five in other early-voting states. Disinterest
among young voters is a particularly troubling sign.
Sanders,
however, kept the race close among white voters, losing just 53% to
47%. And he won two in five voters age 44 and under -- not good, but
better than the one in five he won age 45 and older. It's a signal he
can still rack up large shares of delegates in whiter northern states --
and states where independents can participate in the Democratic
contest, allowing him to bring new voters into the electorate.
Speaking
in Minnesota Saturday night, he tried to energize his supporters:
"Football is a spectator sport. Democracy is not a spectator sport.
Every person in this room is extremely powerful if you choose to use
your power."
Clinton wins among whites, but struggles with men
Clinton
even Sanders out among white voters. While Sanders won white men 56% to
44%, Clinton won white women 60% to 40%. She won whites overall, 54% to
46% -- a much smaller margin than her overall victory, but still
significant, since Sanders typically outperforms Clinton with white
voters.
Beyond the Democratic primary,
Trump, like Sanders, dominates among white men. Clinton won't need to
win those voters to win the election. But she can't be blown out,
either.
While Clinton is bashing
Trump on the campaign trail, she won't be able to start reaching out to
moderate voters any time soon, with Sanders' strength among liberals
constantly pulling Clinton leftward on policy.
"We
don't need to make America great again -- America has never stopped
being great," Clinton said, taking a shot at Trump. "But we do need to
make America whole again. Instead of building walls, we need to be
tearing down barriers. We need to show by everything we do that we
really are in this together."
There was
good news for Clinton, whose numbers on trust and credibility have
lagged far behind Sanders in earlier contests. In South Carolina, 74% of
primary voters said they consider Clinton honest and trustworthy --
better than Sanders' 63%.
Asked who is honest and trustworthy, 28% of primary voters said only Clinton. Another 17% said only Sanders. And 46% said both.
Bill Clinton's redemption
It was just eight years ago that Bill Clinton turned into a toxic asset.
The
most naturally gifted politician of his generation couldn't keep it
from getting personal in South Carolina, when he opened racial fault
lines in an effort to diminish Barack Obama's threat to his wife's
presidential bid. Obama won the state by 28 points.
All appears to be forgiven.
Bill
Clinton campaigned across the state for his wife, allowing the Clinton
campaign to capitalize on the sort of surrogate Sanders could never
possibly match.
It was the latest sign
that, despite his low-key role in the campaign thus far, the former
President is finding a way to shed the baggage of his at-times damaging
2008 role and prove he remains a useful campaign asset.
Much
of it has to do with Obama. Bill Clinton's "explainer-in-chief" 2012
Democratic National Convention healed most wounds that remained, and
Hillary Clinton sealed the deal by positioning herself as the logical
heir to Obama's policies-- with 70% of those who voted Saturday saying
they want the next president to continue those policies.
Perhaps
the best evidence that all is forgiven: In 2008, Clyburn, who'd
endorsed Obama, was furious after Bill Clinton had called him a
"bastard" in a late-night, post-primary phone call that Clyburn detailed
in his memoir. On Saturday night, Hillary Clinton was introduced in
South Carolina for her victory speech by Clyburn -- who was smiling and
dancing on stage.
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