There's
renewed talk in some Republican circles to find a way out as Trump lags
big time behind Hillary Clinton in several new polls, and he has the
highest unfavorable rating of any candidate for a major party on record
-- 70% in this week's Washington Post-ABC poll.
One
source with knowledge of these discussions underscores to CNN, however,
that all of the ideas being bandied about now are highly unlikely to
see fruition -- mostly because this kind of move to get rid of a nominee
elected by GOP primary and caucus voters would be unprecedented. And a
second source says he has spoken directly to senior GOP operatives with
extensive convention experience who are actively exploring how to dump
Trump.
Right now the ideas are focused in and around freeing convention delegates who are bound to Trump.
One way to do that would be
to survey the delegates and find out who is willing the go with someone
else in a second ballot. The challenge with this, according to a source
familiar with the talks, is there has to be a lot of specificity.
Delegates will have to be asked not just if they are willing to abandon
Trump, but also whether they would then be willing to vote for a
specific candidate instead.
A huge
hurdle for "Never Trump" Republicans is that the alternatives -- Ted
Cruz and others -- are still considered by many to be "untenable."
Sen.
Jeff Flake, an Arizona Republican who opposes Trump and has been a
sharp Cruz critic, said it's "too late" to get rid of Trump at the
convention.
"I'm told the rules are such that it's very difficult to do," Flake said.
"If
poll numbers just continue to go south, you'll have, you know, more
people saying, 'Hey is it too late to make a change?' I don't think
that's gonna happen. It's just too late in the process and obviously
there are a lot of dedicated supporters out there that would object."
Mike
Shields, a former Republican National Committee chief of staff and
expert on delegates and convention rules, said a break from Trump by the
delegates would be unprecedented.
"The
delegates are bound right now to nominate Donald Trump. They would have
to unbind themselves, go through a process of changing the rules and go
against the wishes of the voters," Shields said. "That's never happened
before and I think it would be a difficult, heavy lift."
There
is a group of people -- including Eric O'Keefe, a former top fundraiser
for Cruz -- that recently formed a group they're calling "Delegates
Unbound." They are working on a robust effort to convince delegates that
they have the authority and the ability to vote for whomever they want.
A
source working with the group told CNN that they are going to try to
not only directly communicate with the delegates but also try to raise
money to buy TV ads. This source insists the anti-Trump energy is out
there among delegates but they just have to coordinate and harness it --
which is no easy task.
Other people working on this are A.J. Spiker, a former Iowa GOP chairman and Rand Paul supporter, and strategist Dane Waters.
Using the Rules Committee
Another
idea is to use the RNC convention rules committee to try to pass a rule
freeing all the delegates to vote for whomever they want on the front
end.
Conservatives Eric O'Keefe and
David Rifkin, Jr., wrote an op ed in the Wall Street Journal this week
advocating the idea, and pushing back on those who say it's not possible
because state party rules, not national party rules, dictate whether
delegates are bound.
"These
statutes can't be legally enforced. When Republican delegates arrive in
Cleveland to select their party's nominee, they should recognize that
they are bound only by their consciences," wrote O'Keefe and Rifkin.
"A
candidate who cannot win the support of a majority of Republican
delegates voting their consciences does not deserve to be the nominee
and certainly has no legal right to be," they argued.
But that effort could be problematic at the convention, warns Sen. Susan Collins of Maine, who has yet to endorse Trump.
"Donald
Trump has been chosen by a majority of the delegates to be the
Republican nominee, and I think any attempt at the convention to
overturn the will of the delegates would result in a rebellion," Collins
told CNN.
'Conscience clause'
Another idea is to
dust off an addition to the rules at the 1976 convention, called a
"conscience clause," which would allow delegates bound to a candidate to
be unbound if they feel the candidate did or said things they disagree
with between their state's primary or caucus and the convention.
At
this point, sources familiar with these discussions insist neither the
congressional leadership nor the RNC is involved in these talks at all.
And,
sources underscore, most of these ideas would be incredibly hard to
execute -- never mind that they understand it would feed into the very
real anger at the "establishment" among GOP voters that fueled Trump's
victories in the first place.
It would likely prove Trump's point: party systems are rigged and can't be trusted.
Romney redux?
The
problem for Republicans who are critical of Trump is they lack a viable
alternative. One source stressed that Mitt Romney and those close to
him have calculated that it's not feasible for him to jump into the
race. And while some on the Hill are aware of such discussions to dump
Trump, several GOP sources said that Republican leaders are staying away
from any such effort to remove him. One top Republican said bluntly:
"We are stuck with him."
At a
private lunch meeting at the National Republican Senatorial Committee
headquarters this week, GOP lawmakers actively discussed their 2016
prospects. But two senators who attended say they didn't even discuss
Trump, a sign that many are resigned to him being the nominee no matter
how concerned they are.
Sen. Jeff
Sessions, an Alabama Republican who is the Senate's most outspoken Trump
backer, said it's time for the party to fall in line behind Trump.
"It would be just such a disaster," Sessions said of any effort to oust Trump.
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