CNN poll today:
Trump 44%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%
This is the poll as of today. I'm not sure who Stein is but Johnson is the Libertarian party at 9%. Many conservative Republicans who cannot stomach Trump or Hillary are voting for Johnson now.
I'm sure Putin is really happy. His ploy to influence the election towards Donald Trump has worked (at least for now). Like Michael Moore I tend to believe (as of now) Trump will be our next president because of all the manipulations by Putin and others behind the scenes. It's obvious the FSB (new version of KGB) is working hard to elect Trump now. What I find strange is that Obama and Hillary aren't talking about this yet?
begin quote from:
Donald Trump bounces into the lead
CNN International-4 hours ago
By Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director .... hold a college degree from a 51% to 31% lead before the convention to a 62% to 23% lead now.
Donald Trump bounces into the lead
CNN poll: Trump leads Clinton after RNC 00:50
Story highlights
- Donald Trump won a significant post-convention bounce, a new poll shows
- It shows him ahead of Hillary Clinton in a four-way race and one-on-one
(CNN)The bounce is back.
Donald
Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race
for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup
including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a
two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a
6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in
two-way matchups.
There
hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since
2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers
by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all
the way to the Supreme Court.
National
polls don't have a large enough sample to accurately reflect the state
of play in key battlegrounds, and there is little information thus far
on how Trump's convention performance has affected the presidential race
state-by-state.
The new findings mark Trump's best showing in a CNN/ORC Poll against
Clinton since September 2015. Trump's new edge rests largely on
increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump's
convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41%
were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31%
Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now,
46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.
The
poll also reflects a sharpening of the education divide among whites
that has been prevalent throughout the campaign. Among white voters with
college degrees, Clinton actually gained ground compared with
pre-convention results, going from an even 40% to 40% split to a 44% to
39% edge over Trump. That while Trump expanded his lead with white
voters who do not hold a college degree from a 51% to 31% lead before
the convention to a 62% to 23% lead now.
Beyond boosting his overall
support, Trump's favorability rating is also on the rise (46% of
registered voters say they have a positive view, up from 39%
pre-convention), while his advantage over Clinton on handling top issues
climbs. He now holds double-digit margins over Clinton as more trusted
on the economy and terrorism. Trump also cut into Clinton's edge on
managing foreign policy (50% said they trusted her more, down from 57%
pre-convention).
The convention
also helped Trump make strides in his personal image. A majority (52%)
now say Trump is running for president for the good of the country
rather than personal gain, just 44% say the same about Clinton. He's
increased the share who call him honest and trustworthy (from 38% to
43%), and who would be proud to have him as president (from 32% to 39%).
And nearly half now say he's in touch with the problems ordinary
Americans face in their daily lives (46% say so, 37% did before the
convention).
Despite Democratic
criticism of the Republican convention's message as divisive, the
percentage who say Trump will unite the country rather than divide it
has increased to 42%, compared with 34% pre-convention.
Clinton's ratings on these
same measures took a hit, though in most cases her drop-off was not
quite as large as Trump's gain. Perhaps most troubling for the Clinton
supporters gathering in Philadelphia this week: 68% now say Clinton is
not honest and trustworthy, her worst rating on that measure in CNN/ORC
polling.
Those positives for Trump
come despite some sharply negative reviews for the convention itself.
Almost 6 in 10 (58%) said the Republican convention spent too much time
attacking Democrats, and 18% called Trump's speech "terrible," the
highest by far since CNN started began the question in 1996. Still, 40%
called the speech excellent or good and about half of voters (45%) said
Trump's speech reflected the way they feel about things in the U.S.
today; 48% said it did not reflect their views.
Clinton
campaign manager Robby Mook downplayed the CNN/ORC Poll Friday , which
gives Trump an edge coming out of the Republican convention. He said
Trump didn't win over persuadable voters, but simply shored up his base.
"It was just an angry mob," Mook told reporters at a Bloomberg Politics breakfast in Philadelphia.
A better measure, he said, will come when both conventions are over.
The
public rendered a split decision on whether the convention made them
more or less likely to back Trump, 42% said more likely while 44% said
less so, but the shift in voter preferences suggests the "more likely"
side carried more weight. And most came away feeling ready to decide
about Trump's fitness for the job: 78% say they already know enough to
know whether he'd be a good president. Another 20% think they need more
information.
Two prominent
convention speakers saw their stock rise post-convention as well.
Favorability ratings for Trump's wife, Melania, climbed from 27%
pre-convention to 43% post-convention, despite news that her Monday
night speech contained passages lifted from Michelle Obama's 2008
Democratic convention speech. Vice Presidential nominee Mike Pence,
whose Wednesday speaking slot was largely overshadowed following Ted
Cruz's defiant stand on the convention stage, also bolstered the
electorate's impression of him, landing at a 39% favorable rating
overall, up from 26% pre-convention.
Cruz's
move, however, appears to have backfired. While 60% of Republican
voters had a positive impression of the former presidential candidate
before the convention, just 33% have one now.
The
Trump campaign has claimed the visceral negative reaction to Cruz
reflected the unity the party feels behind Trump himself. But the poll
suggests a large share of Republican voters still need to be won over.
The share of Republicans who say their party is "united now" climbed
from 16% pre-convention to 24% post-convention, but about half (49%) say
it's not united now, but will be by November, and there are still about
a quarter who say the party won't unite at all. Further, 45% continue
to say they'd prefer someone other than Trump as the nominee.
The
CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone July 22-24 among a random
national sample of 1,001 adults. Results for the sample of 882
registered voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5
percentage points.
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