Tuesday, January 1, 2019

Till 2100 and after: Worldwide Migrations of poor people

What is and will cause this?

Global Climate changes.

What caused Global Climate changes?

Too many people beyond the 1 billion that are actually sustainable living on the surface of earth.

And what will tend to happen?

The poorest people who don't have jobs or potable water or food will tend to migrate (or die trying) to other places where there is potable water and food (and hopefully jobs).

What will this look like?

It will look like the middle East from 2012 until now going into Europe out of the middle East especially into Europe. It will also look like Central America and Mexico migrating to the U.S. and further north up into Canada.

It will look like poorer people moving or dying to a place they can survive worldwide.

Many will just die from the heat, from no good water and no good food. Others will find a way out of where they are to somewhere better.

This is what life on earth for the poorest people is going to look like this century.

And as a result tribal reactions will take place among the people whose lives are changed where they go to.

This is called populism and causes reactions like Brexit, Trump, Duterte and others.

This is what this century is  likely going to look like.

We cannot have any more big wars with nukes or else everyone dies on earth and the earth becomes another asteroid belt that was left from the last planet our ancestors nuked which we now call the Asteroid belt 65 million years ago out past Mars. The Russians sent a probe there in the 1970s and found out that it had been a planet that was nuked. This news was in Pravda in Moscow but was repressed from all western Newspapers by various religions around the world. It is also one of the main reasons that the Soviet Union collapsed eventually because the intelligentsia of Russia knew about this since the 1970s.

So, wars between the largest powers will change to. For example, we are presently in Cyber Wars with both China and Russia and North Korea. This has been ongoing for years now. Some of the ramifications of this are millions of credit card numbers being stolen (and ATM accounts as well), Gas main explosions caused by cyber changes to the pressure of gas lines, fires caused by utilities where cyber warfare has been waged against the utilities by foreign countries etc. etc. etc.

The other consequences are things like Cyber wars against democracy by manipulating companies like Facebook and others to harm and to create further and further polarizations and murders in all democracies by all psychological means necessary to create more havoc of any kind in democracies worldwide by Russia and China.

This is likely what this century will look like. Of course there will be completely unexpected variables too. When you read the following article think about how much Ridley Scott Got right and what he got wrong.

So, when you predict the future there are many many unknowns. For example, people don't smoke in public anymore in the U.S. (so that was wrong for  November 2019). Also, there are no telephone booths for video phones in the U.S. in 2019 also (just cellphones and smartphones). (and things like Skype and What's App and Facetime for video talks with people around the world for free if you have Wifi and the right kind of Service and technology and technological awareness and capability, or unless you have free Data on your Smart Phone service policy.

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Oct 6, 2017 - The original "Blade Runner" presented a nightmarish techno-world of androids, flying cars and mood organs. How much of that future exists in ...




TV AND MOVIES

Original 'Blade Runner' vs today's tech: Is that future here?

The original "Blade Runner" presented a nightmarish techno-world of androids, flying cars and mood organs. How much of that future exists in the present?



Sunset Boulevard


In 1982, Ridley Scott's "Blade Runner" created a dystopic template for science fiction that, 35 years later, still influences films and TV. As we approach the year 2019, when the film was set, and get ready for the sequel, "Blade Runner 2049," let's see how our present measures up to the bleak imagined future of the film and the Philip K. Dick novel that inspired it.

Andys and replicants



blade-runner-2049-ryan-gosling-harrison-ford-2
Ryan Gosling and Harrison Ford dream of electric sheep in "Blade Runner 2049."
Frank Ockenfels

At the heart of "Blade Runner" and Dick's 1968 story "Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?" are bioengineered androids, known as "andys" in the book and "replicants" in the movie.
Attempts to come up with life-like robots have taken us into the uncanny valley to meet the slightly off-putting likes of eerie "robot goddess" Jia Jia or a humanoid bot that looks like Albert Einstein. But even with their malleable skin and carefully programmed facial expressions, they can't fool our instinctive recognition of real faces the way andys and replicants can.
The super-advanced androids and replicants of "Blade Runner," of course, do have their limits. They can't feel empathy. Similarly, no matter how clever today's robots get at voice or facial recognition or how precisely they learn to mimic us, the vast array of nuanced human emotions is simply too complex and nuanced for machines to understand -- yet.  

Artificial intelligence

The prospect of equipping robots with their own Artificial intelligence is one that worries a lot of people, with Stephen Hawking and Elon Musk among the experts warning of the dangers of unchecked AI. They're especially concerned about the evolution of military drones, which could one day lead to the superstrong and implacably ruthless replicant soldiers of "Blade Runner."


Pris With Broken Doll
Daryl Hannah plays the replicant Pris in a scene from "Blade Runner."
Getty Images

Aside from the technicalities, there are serious ethical questions raised by the prospect of machines with their own consciousness. Dick explicitly linked the use of androids to slavery, while the description of a female replicant as "a basic pleasure model" raises questions of consent.
If artificial intelligence and engineering or bioengineering advance enough to create conscious, intelligent androids, will we have the right to force them to satisfy our desires? This question has long been a staple of speculative fiction, but it's becoming a real concern as sex robots are already with us, and today's lifelike RealDoll sex robots will come with programmable personalities by the end of the year. Experts also worry about the effect of sex robots on the human portion of society, because female-styled sex robots could encourage the idea women are objects for the fulfillment of male fantasies. 



Watch this: Touring a factory where sexbots come alive
 3:57

Flying cars

The cops of "Blade Runner" get around in flying cars called spinners. In the real world, self-driving cars are increasingly looking likely to be the next generation of transport thanks to Google and other manufacturers. But some firms are already looking to flying vehicles. One of the wackiest recent attempts at a flying car is the Airbus Pop.Up, a carbon fiber two-seater concept that attaches to a drone to carry the capsule into the skies.
Ride-sharing behemoth Uber has proposed a flying taxi scheme called Uber Elevate. Uber reckons electric-powered vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) aircraft could operate using the air traffic control systems that already exist to marshal helicopters above cities, and the firm has put its money where its mouth is by partnering with the local governments of Dallas and Dubai to research the idea. Environmental and safety concerns still need to be addressed -- and we'd have to build a bunch of landing pads -- but Uber reckons it could start testing flying cars by 2020. 

Video phones and voice commands

Infamously, many of the real-life brands seen in "Blade Runner," including Atari and Pan Am, didn't survive into the real future. And like much 20th-century sci-fi, the film didn't see the digital information age coming.
Instead of a smartphone, Deckard uses a phone booth to keep in touch -- but at least it's a video call. Video calling has long been a staple of sci-fi, but it's only recently that Skype and FaceTime have become popular on a wide scale as data networks become fast and sturdy enough to cope with the traffic.
Computers don't seem as ubiquitous in "Blade Runner" as they are in reality, but they are voice-controlled, like the new generation of voice-activated personal assistants Siri, Alexa and Cortana. Elevators require a voice print, while Deckard's boss has a bank of microphones on his desk, for some reason. Deckard also chats with his picture-analyzing machine to "zoom" and "enhance" a printed photo.

Scorched earth

One of the main themes of the book is that humanity has left the ravaged earth behind. While the book attributes the ruined state of the stricken planet to war, the film's flame-belching industrial landscape and perpetual smog points towards the toll we have taken on our atmosphere.


Spinner Takes Off
A "spinner" flying car takes off.
Getty Images

Whatever the cause of these climate changes, the world of the future sees animals all but wiped out, necessitating the creation of synthetic animals -- the "electric sheep" of the book's title. Sadly, this isn't purely science fiction: the World Wildlife Fund calculates that the planet's animal population has plunged by 60 percent since 1970 due to human activity.

Off-world travel

With the earth ailing, humans in the Los Angeles of "Blade Runner" are offered "the chance to begin again in a golden land of opportunity and adventure": space. We're still too far from cracking the problem of faster-than-light travel that would allow us to establish colonies on other worlds, but we are heading toward commercial space flight thanks to Elon Musk's SpaceX and Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic.  
Sadly, in "Blade Runner," we take our worst tendencies with us. War breaks out among the stars, as poetically described by replicant Roy Batty in the film. And the book makes it explicit that everyone opting to blast off from Earth gets their very own android slave.


On the Set of "Blade Runner"
Joanna Cassidy as the replicant Zhora with her snake -- a robot holding a robot.
Sunset Boulevard

In real life, even if humans haven't traveled beyond the moon, robots are venturing much further. The Voyager 1 space probe has journeyed beyond our galaxy, while robotic rovers have explored the surface of Mars and the Rosetta probe even landed on a speeding asteroid

Mood organ

The book opens with Rick Deckard and his wife arguing over this mood-altering device. Dick doesn't describe the design of the mood organ or how it works, only specifying that it can stimulate or sedate the user's cerebral cortex. Users simply dial up the emotion they want, such as 481 (awareness of the manifold possibilities open in the future) or 594 (pleased acknowledgement of a spouse's superior wisdom).
In the real world, a process called deep brain stimulation uses a surgically implanted, battery-operated medical device to control physical symptoms of the effects of conditions like Parkinson's such as tremor, stiffness and slowed movement. Meanwhile, a wearable device called Thync attaches to your forehead and juices your cranial nerves with electricity to either relax you or stimulate you into a state of heightened alertness.
Tech millionaire Musk, always one to think big, is backing research into "neural lace" technology, which would implant electrodes into our brains to potentially treat mental health issues -- and allow you to communicate with others "telepathically." He recently claimed an announcement was coming as soon as a few months.
While we wait for this advance, you can boost your concentration simply by listening to music that syncs with your brainwaves.


blade-runner-2049-ryan-gosling-spinner
"Blade Runner 2049" continues the themes of the classic novel and original movie.
Frank Ockenfels

Even without these kind of and hacks, chances are technology is already affecting your emotions. Where Rick Deckard reaches for the mood organ as soon as he wakes up, many of us reach for our smartphones. Yet studies reveal social media is addictive, and can lead to anxiety and isolation. Being subjected to abuse online triggers your fight-or-flight instinct, which over time can lead to sleep problems, weight gain, digestive difficulty and anxiety.

The things I've seen with your eyes

"Blade Runner 2049," the sequel to "Blade Runner," also tackles many of these technological questions. Set 30 years after the original film, the story of a new Blade Runner played by Ryan Gosling takes place in a continuation of the "Blade Runner" universe, devoid of modern advances such as smartphones and the internet, rather than in an imagined version of our future. But it does draw on contemporary concerns like climate change and the information age, coming full circle to some of the themes of the novel.

This copy might be clearer:
Original 'Blade Runner' vs today's tech: Is that future here?
The original "Blade Runner" presented a nightmarish techno-world of androids, flying cars and mood organs. How much of that future exists in the present?









Sunset Boulevard



In 1982, Ridley Scott's "Blade Runner" created a dystopic template for science fiction that, 35 years later, still influences films and TV. As we approach the year 2019, when the film was set, and get ready for the sequel, "Blade Runner 2049," let's see how our present measures up to the bleak imagined future of the film and the Philip K. Dick novel that inspired it.
Andys and replicants

Ryan Gosling and Harrison Ford dream of electric sheep in "Blade Runner 2049."
Frank Ockenfels
At the heart of "Blade Runner" and Dick's 1968 story "Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?" are bioengineered androids, known as "andys" in the book and "replicants" in the movie.
Attempts to come up with life-like robots have taken us into the uncanny valley to meet the slightly off-putting likes of eerie "robot goddess" Jia Jia or a humanoid bot that looks like Albert Einstein. But even with their malleable skin and carefully programmed facial expressions, they can't fool our instinctive recognition of real faces the way andys and replicants can.
The super-advanced androids and replicants of "Blade Runner," of course, do have their limits. They can't feel empathy. Similarly, no matter how clever today's robots get at voice or facial recognition or how precisely they learn to mimic us, the vast array of nuanced human emotions is simply too complex and nuanced for machines to understand -- yet.  
Artificial intelligence
The prospect of equipping robots with their own Artificial intelligence is one that worries a lot of people, with Stephen Hawking and Elon Musk among the experts warning of the dangers of unchecked AI. They're especially concerned about the evolution of military drones, which could one day lead to the superstrong and implacably ruthless replicant soldiers of "Blade Runner."

Daryl Hannah plays the replicant Pris in a scene from "Blade Runner."
Getty Images
Aside from the technicalities, there are serious ethical questions raised by the prospect of machines with their own consciousness. Dick explicitly linked the use of androids to slavery, while the description of a female replicant as "a basic pleasure model" raises questions of consent.
If artificial intelligence and engineering or bioengineering advance enough to create conscious, intelligent androids, will we have the right to force them to satisfy our desires? This question has long been a staple of speculative fiction, but it's becoming a real concern as sex robots are already with us, and today's lifelike RealDoll sex robots will come with programmable personalities by the end of the year. Experts also worry about the effect of sex robots on the human portion of society, because female-styled sex robots could encourage the idea women are objects for the fulfillment of male fantasies. 

Watch this: Touring a factory where sexbots come alive
 3:57
Flying cars
The cops of "Blade Runner" get around in flying cars called spinners. In the real world, self-driving cars are increasingly looking likely to be the next generation of transport thanks to Google and other manufacturers. But some firms are already looking to flying vehicles. One of the wackiest recent attempts at a flying car is the Airbus Pop.Up, a carbon fiber two-seater concept that attaches to a drone to carry the capsule into the skies.
Ride-sharing behemoth Uber has proposed a flying taxi scheme called Uber Elevate. Uber reckons electric-powered vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) aircraft could operate using the air traffic control systems that already exist to marshal helicopters above cities, and the firm has put its money where its mouth is by partnering with the local governments of Dallas and Dubai to research the idea. Environmental and safety concerns still need to be addressed -- and we'd have to build a bunch of landing pads -- but Uber reckons it could start testing flying cars by 2020. 

Video phones and voice commands
Infamously, many of the real-life brands seen in "Blade Runner," including Atari and Pan Am, didn't survive into the real future. And like much 20th-century sci-fi, the film didn't see the digital information age coming.
Instead of a smartphone, Deckard uses a phone booth to keep in touch -- but at least it's a video call. Video calling has long been a staple of sci-fi, but it's only recently that Skype and FaceTime have become popular on a wide scale as data networks become fast and sturdy enough to cope with the traffic.
Computers don't seem as ubiquitous in "Blade Runner" as they are in reality, but they are voice-controlled, like the new generation of voice-activated personal assistants Siri, Alexa and Cortana. Elevators require a voice print, while Deckard's boss has a bank of microphones on his desk, for some reason. Deckard also chats with his picture-analyzing machine to "zoom" and "enhance" a printed photo.
Scorched earth
One of the main themes of the book is that humanity has left the ravaged earth behind. While the book attributes the ruined state of the stricken planet to war, the film's flame-belching industrial landscape and perpetual smog points towards the toll we have taken on our atmosphere.

A "spinner" flying car takes off.
Getty Images
Whatever the cause of these climate changes, the world of the future sees animals all but wiped out, necessitating the creation of synthetic animals -- the "electric sheep" of the book's title. Sadly, this isn't purely science fiction: the World Wildlife Fund calculates that the planet's animal population has plunged by 60 percent since 1970 due to human activity.
Off-world travel
With the earth ailing, humans in the Los Angeles of "Blade Runner" are offered "the chance to begin again in a golden land of opportunity and adventure": space. We're still too far from cracking the problem of faster-than-light travel that would allow us to establish colonies on other worlds, but we are heading toward commercial space flight thanks to Elon Musk's SpaceX and Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic.  
Sadly, in "Blade Runner," we take our worst tendencies with us. War breaks out among the stars, as poetically described by replicant Roy Batty in the film. And the book makes it explicit that everyone opting to blast off from Earth gets their very own android slave.

Joanna Cassidy as the replicant Zhora with her snake -- a robot holding a robot.
Sunset Boulevard
In real life, even if humans haven't traveled beyond the moon, robots are venturing much further. The Voyager 1 space probe has journeyed beyond our galaxy, while robotic rovers have explored the surface of Mars and the Rosetta probe even landed on a speeding asteroid
Mood organ
The book opens with Rick Deckard and his wife arguing over this mood-altering device. Dick doesn't describe the design of the mood organ or how it works, only specifying that it can stimulate or sedate the user's cerebral cortex. Users simply dial up the emotion they want, such as 481 (awareness of the manifold possibilities open in the future) or 594 (pleased acknowledgement of a spouse's superior wisdom).
MORE 'BLADE RUNNER'
In the real world, a process called deep brain stimulation uses a surgically implanted, battery-operated medical device to control physical symptoms of the effects of conditions like Parkinson's such as tremor, stiffness and slowed movement. Meanwhile, a wearable device called Thync attaches to your forehead and juices your cranial nerves with electricity to either relax you or stimulate you into a state of heightened alertness.
Tech millionaire Musk, always one to think big, is backing research into "neural lace" technology, which would implant electrodes into our brains to potentially treat mental health issues -- and allow you to communicate with others "telepathically." He recently claimed an announcement was coming as soon as a few months.
While we wait for this advance, you can boost your concentration simply by listening to music that syncs with your brainwaves.

"Blade Runner 2049" continues the themes of the classic novel and original movie.
Frank Ockenfels
Even without these kind of and hacks, chances are technology is already affecting your emotions. Where Rick Deckard reaches for the mood organ as soon as he wakes up, many of us reach for our smartphones. Yet studies reveal social media is addictive, and can lead to anxiety and isolation. Being subjected to abuse online triggers your fight-or-flight instinct, which over time can lead to sleep problems, weight gain, digestive difficulty and anxiety.
The things I've seen with your eyes

"Blade Runner 2049," the sequel to "Blade Runner," also tackles many of these technological questions. Set 30 years after the original film, the story of a new Blade Runner played by Ryan Gosling takes place in a continuation of the "Blade Runner" universe, devoid of modern advances such as smartphones and the internet, rather than in an imagined version of our future. But it does draw on contemporary concerns like climate change and the information age, coming full circle to some of the themes of the novel. 

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