Saturday, December 21, 2019

How Trump has given Biden a major campaign boost

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How Trump has given Biden a major campaign boost

Lead Panel 3 Live Brianna Keilar _00000222
GOP panelist: Biden's frontrunner status for so long is a strength 04:10
Julian Zelizer, a CNN political analyst, is a professor of history and public affairs at Princeton University and author of the forthcoming book, "Burning Down the House: Newt Gingrich, the Fall of a Speaker, and the Rise of the New Republican Party." Follow him on Twitter: @julianzelizer. The views expressed in this commentary are his own. View more opinion at CNN.
(CNN)After three years of his chaotic presidency, President Donald Trump has made nostalgia a big, bold idea among Democrats. This is one of the secrets to former Vice President Joe Biden's ongoing success in the polls. The President, with the full support of his party in Congress, has pushed politics so far off-kilter that Americans are desperately yearning for normalcy in the Oval Office.
Julian Zelizer
On paper, Biden is not offering anything very dramatic. He himself embodies an older vision of the Democratic Party, in contrast to the slate of women, African Americans and Latinos who have made inroads in both the presidential race and in Congress. While his campaign has put forward a series of policy promises that aim to expand on President Barack Obama's domestic record, he often talks about a return to some kind of better past.
Biden has called for Democrats and Republicans to work together again. During the debate this week, he said that while he has "no love" for Republicans who attacked his family, "the fact is, we have to be able to get things done." Biden has frequently repeated a key tenet of his campaign: "We're in a battle for the soul of America." In doing so, he often talks about traditional American values that he respects and would champion as commander-in-chief. Even his "no malarkey" bus tour, which has been thoroughly mocked by younger generations, takes us back in time with the use of outdated slang.
    Progressive critics point out that these promises evoke a past that no longer exists (and in many cases, never existed) and thus misleads voters into thinking that our country is in better shape than it is. His calls for bipartisanship, for instance, have rightly been met with deep skepticism given the radical outlook of a GOP that hasn't shown any interest in reaching across the aisle for several decades. Biden appeals to our better angels, but the Trump era has shown that those angels are too often absent from our polity.
    But the criticism isn't undercutting Biden as much as it might in different times. And the reason is the President. Trump has blown up an already volatile political atmosphere with the way he governs. His vitriolic tweets, his aggressive use and abuse of presidential power, his punitive policies, his smashmouth attacks on opponents and his total disregard for the conventions and norms of Washington have created a toxic atmosphere where everything feels upended. To many Democrats, the nation is in a true state of crisis.

    Voters may want stability over fresh faces

    Enter Biden and his own brand of nostalgia evoking simpler, more agreeable times. In 1996, Sen. Bob Dole's campaign against President Bill Clinton fell flat as few voters were interested in a senior politician who seemed stuck in the world of "Leave it to Beaver." After Dole vowed to build a bridge to the past, Clinton hit back by saying, ''We do not need to build a bridge to the past, we need to build a bridge to the future."
    This time around, however, Biden's appeal to the past has legs. Democrats are desperate for stability, and Biden's promises seem attractive, even as his opponents — many of them fresh faces — run stronger campaigns and offer bolder ideas. Whereas Biden has focused on progressive expansions of the Affordable Care Act and a plan to eliminate net greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 with some elements of the Green New Deal, many of his opponents have been talking about "Medicare for All," a wealth tax, and even jettisoning the Electoral College.
    With Trump in the White House, stability is not simply a virtue — it is now an aspiration. By talking about his experience and desire to restore the traditional ways of doing business, Biden offers something that now seems as big of a dream as Medicare for All. That's how crazy national politics has become.
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      Whether the power of nostalgia is enough to carry Biden to the nomination or to the White House remains unclear. Democrats could ultimately decide on a bolder vision that tries to tackle the underlying problems that have been exposed with Trump's rise to power. After all, Biden's basic appeal explains exactly why his own basic strategy likely won't work: the times have changed. The Republicans have embraced a radical approach to politics. The conservative media pumps out disinformation and propaganda as legitimate news. New technology will only exacerbate this problem with doctored videos and cooked-up viral campaigns. And the impeachment process has only made it clearer that the current President is willing to do almost anything to win.
      It may be a lost cause for Democrats to try to adhere to old standards while the GOP is ready to launch a no-holds-barred campaign. But it might just be that politics has become so dysfunctional under Republican rule that Biden's call for a return to normalcy will be enough to carve a path to the White House in November.
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