I think it's 50-50 whether the virus will be over by summer

 What do I mean by this?

If we look back at the most similar virus to this one we go back to the 1918 to 1920 pandemic that killed 650,000 Americans (more soldiers than died in World War I by the way).

And it likely killed (on a ratio based upon population differences to now about the same percentage of people that this virus has killed in the American population. (even though worldwide it killed 50 to 100 million people then).

So, if we base this virus on that one then it is possible it could end by this summer.

However, we don't know if that virus was mutating like this one has either mostly because there wasn't the level of scientific expertise regarding viruses then mostly.

I suppose that we might assume that since it was a virus it mutated though and eventually became endemic and the Spanish flu still exists today but it doesn't kill so many now because most people now have herd immunity to it.

On one level this could happen to this one.

The question becomes: "Will it become more manageable this year or will the variants keep on coming like they have one by one?

But even then Omicron is more manageable than the Delta Virus was even though it is much more contagious by 3 to 4 times than the Delta Virus was.

So, what is going to happen?

No one really knows for sure at this point.