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Hurricane Agatha makes Mexico landfall. Forecast gives chance for tropical development in Gulf
Jigsha DesaiJust days before the official start of the 2022 hurricane season, Hurricane Agatha made landfall on Mexico’s southwestern coast around 5 p.m. on Monday, forecasters at the National Hurricane Center said.
Hurricane Agatha had maximum sustained winds near 105 mph at landfall. As of the 8 p.m., advisory, maximum sustained winds decreased to near 80 mph with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is expected as the hurricane moves farther inland. Agatha is forecast to weaken to a tropical storm tonight, and dissipate over southeastern Mexico by late Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Hurricane Agatha is the first named storm of the 2022 Pacific season.
What Hurricane Agatha could mean for Florida
The National Hurricane Center’s five-day tropical outlook said Monday evening there was a 50 percent chance that the remnants of Agatha could form a tropical system, which was forecast to move slowly eastward or northeastward in an area that could impact parts of Florida.
AccuWeather meteorologists said that Agatha, as it crosses Mexico and enters the Bay of Campeche in the next few days, could redevelop into the Atlantic basin’s first named storm. If formed, that storm would be called Alex.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, Belize, and western Cuba through the week.
Some spaghetti models show that Florida will be impacted by the storm’s remnants after it crosses over Mexico.
Use the map to below to see the different spaghetti models.
Experts predict “above-average” hurricane activity this year
Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center are predicting above-average hurricane activity this year — which would make it the seventh consecutive above-average hurricane season. Forecasters predict a 65% chance of an above-normal season, a 25% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.
Jigsha Desai leads digital audience teams that support newsrooms across the United States. Support local journalism by subscribing to your local news organization.
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