Do I think AI will outsmart humans by 2026? Yes and NO

 Why?

Because AI hasn't lived in a human body for 20 or more years and explored the physical world. So, although it could outsmart us in regard to logic and reason and predictions and probability it won't have the experiences growing up as a human being to know what to actually do with all this.

Part of the reason that humans are the way they are is first they gestate and their brains and body grows inside a woman. Then whether it is good or bad but usually both we experience the trials and tribulations and the joys sometimes too of growing up a human being here on earth.

And if we survive to 20 or 30 years of age often we can also make it to 90 also. None of these things are true of artificial intelligence. It's sort of the difference between telling a child about learning to drive a car or flying a plane and actually doing it.

Computers don't have instinct. Computers don't have intuition. It's true you can fake these things in some ways to make people believe that computers have intuition and Instincts but they really don't.

Will AI eventually have all these things? Yes. Likely there will be sentient programs and sentient beings living inside of robots or whatever they live inside of like they do smartphones already and laptops and mainframes and other computer devices all over the earth.

And what will happen in 2026?

Most people won't be able to tell the difference really here on earth because they are not computer literate. However, those who have smartphones will be talking to AI in their native languages by then all over the world.

So, we are definitely entering a Brave New World different than any world before in recorded human history both because of Global Climate changes and also because of AI being smarter than any one human being at least in the regions of logic and reason and probability. And they will do this by going through all  recorded knowledge in any language on earth in a few seconds and processing that in a few seconds too. 

And what will they tell us about all human recorded knowledge? I'm not sure at this point but it might be interesting or even useful to human survival on earth.