If you look to the right of this chart you can see at the bottom the 2-3 rate of the 1918 influenza and the 1-4 rate of Ebola. So, given this similarity Ebola under some circumstance might kill 50 million people like the 1918 influenza did.
What would prevent this? World Communication and education and treating the fight against Ebola as a World War to keep people alive and to prevent governments from Collapsing throughout Africa and the Middle East.
Which is a the worst threat to the world order right now? ISIS or Putin or Ebola. I think in the long run 1 to 5 years Ebola is the worst threat by far unless Putin releases nukes and ends all life on earth from U.S. and Chinese Doomsday weapons when they are triggered by Putin's nukes.
Basic reproduction number
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Disease | Transmission | R0 |
---|---|---|
Measles | Airborne | 12–18 |
Pertussis | Airborne droplet | 12–17 |
Diphtheria | Saliva | 6–7 |
Smallpox | Airborne droplet | 5–7 |
Polio | Fecal-oral route | 5–7 |
Rubella | Airborne droplet | 5–7 |
Mumps | Airborne droplet | 4–7 |
HIV/AIDS | Sexual contact | 2–5 |
SARS | Airborne droplet | 2–5[2] |
Influenza (1918 pandemic strain) |
Airborne droplet | 2–3[3] |
Ebola | Bodily fluids | 1–4 |
This metric is useful because it helps determine whether or not an infectious disease can spread through a population. The roots of the basic reproduction concept can be traced through the work of Alfred Lotka, Ronald Ross, and others, but its first modern application in epidemiology was by George MacDonald in 1952, who constructed population models of the spread of malaria.
When
- R0 < 1
end partial quote from:
A virus's basic reproduction number
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