Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Putin: Market manipulation of oil prices backfires on those that start it



  • ​Market manipulation of oil prices backfires on those that start it - Putin
  • ​Market manipulation of oil prices backfires on those that start it - Putin

    Published time: November 24, 2014 09:57
    Edited time: November 25, 2014 06:40

    Russian President Vladimir Putin.(RIA Novosti / Michael Klimentyev)
    Russian President Vladimir Putin.(RIA Novosti / Michael Klimentyev)
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    The modern world is interdependent and there is no guarantee that sanctions, a sharp fall in oil prices, or the depreciation of the ruble won’t backfire on those who provoked them, says Russian President Vladimir Putin.
    "If undercharging for energy products occurs deliberately, it also hits those who introduce these limitations. Problems arise, they will continue to grow, worsening the situation, and not only for Russia but also for our partners, including oil and gas producing countries," said Putin in an interview to TASS.
    The Russian leader suggested that the fall in oil prices is due to the sharp increase in the production of shale oil and gas by the United States, but questioned its commercial viability.
    “What is the profitability of this production like? It’s from $65 to $83 per barrel. Now when the price of a barrel of oil has fallen below $80, shale gas production becomes unprofitable.” said Putin.
    The President said he sees objective reasons for the decline in oil prices.
    "The supply has increased from Libya, surprising as it may seem it produces more, Iraq as well, despite all the problems ... ISIS sell oil illegally at $30 per barrel on the black market, Saudi Arabia increased its production and consumption decreased due to a period of stagnation or, say, a decrease compared with the forecasts of global economic growth," he said.
    Talking about the Russian economy and the weakening ruble, Putin said the situation with oil prices doesn’t hit the budget as hard as expected.
    READ MORE: Russian ruble continues recovery, as oil back to $80
    “…we are confident in solving social issues. Including the ones of the defense industry. Russia has its own base for import substitution," he said.
    "Thank God, we’ve received a lot from previous generations, and that we’ve done much to modernize the industry over the past decade and a half. Does it damage us? Partly, but not fatally," Putin concluded.
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  • ​Market manipulation of oil prices backfires on those that start it - Putin
  • Is this what Putin actually believes?
    Is this just propaganda?
    The answer is: I don't know

    But, the likely answer is it is all these things.

    I was interested how Putin asks if shale oil production in the U.S. is causing the drop in oil prices.

    Though it is an interesting question I'm not sure the answer pans out to be realistic.

    Another point of view is that factors presently unknown are also behind the drop in oil prices possibly to zero still according to hedge fund predictors. But, I think it is also important to consider that oil in the long run could go down as easy as it could go up.

    And because it could go either way any time without warning, I think investors should be aware how much this might affect them either way too and plan accordingly.

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