Asia driving 'explosion' in global arms trade: study
LONDON
(Reuters) - Asian powers are outpacing the United States to become the
biggest spenders on defense by 2021 and are fuelling an "explosion" in
the global arms trade, a study showed. The global arms trade jumped by
30 percent to $73.5 billion between 2008-2012 in spite of the economic…
LONDON (Reuters) -
Asian powers are outpacing the United States to become the biggest
spenders on defense by 2021 and are fuelling an "explosion" in the global arms trade, a study showed.
The global arms trade jumped by
30 percent to $73.5 billion between 2008-2012 in spite of the economic
downturn, driven by surging exports from China and demand from countries like India, and is set to more than double by 2020, defense and security consultancy IHS Jane's said on Tuesday.
"Budgets are shifting East and
global arms trade is increasing competition. This is the biggest
explosion in trade the world has ever seen," said Paul Burton, a senior manager at IHS Jane's whose study looked at 34,000 defense acquisition programs.
The United States has accounted for the lion's share of global defense spending
over the past decade, but budget cuts in Washington, as it withdraws
from countries such as Afghanistan, mean that it will account for just
30 percent by 2021 to fall behind Asia at 31 percent.
Military spending in the Asia Pacific region - which includes China,
India and Indonesia - will rise 35 percent to $501 billion in the next
eight years, compared to a 28 percent fall in U.S. spending to $472
billion over the same period, IHS Jane's said."The big Western defense companies have no option - export or shrink - but this could be sowing the seed of their own demise; the opportunities in the East are a double-edged sword, fuelling a trend which threatens U.S. dominance of defense." said Guy Anderson, senior principal analyst at IHS Jane's.
China's ramp-up in defense spending
in recent years is worrying its neighbors such as Japan, with whom it
is currently embroiled in a stand-off over a series of uninhabited
islands, despite its repeated reassurances that there is nothing to
fear.
Japan, as well as India and South Korea, are among countries being
courted by weapon makers such as Lockheed Martin, Boeing and BAE Systems
who want to sell them fighter jets and other equipment to make up for
reduced spending in their Western home markets, but such deals tend to
require investment in the buyers's defense industries.India, for instance, is speaking exclusively to France's Dassault Aviation on a $12 billion order of 126 warlanes and wants 50 percent of the work to be given to Indian companies.
China is expected to increase its defense budget by 64 percent to $207 billion by 2021, compared to India and Indonesia which are respectively forecast to spend 54 and 113 percent more, the study said.
These countries aspire to build thriving defense industries capable of developing modern equipment such as fighter jets and aircraft carriers, and may be able to export "world class kit" rivaling that of the West in a decade as a result of their willingness to spend, IHS Jane's said.
(Reporting by Brenda Goh; Editing by Michael Roddy)
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