begin quote from:
Netflix Is Getting So Original, It's Overtaken HBO
ABC News | - 4 hours ago |
Look
out, HBO. Netflix produced more original programming than cable's
premium-network leader last year, according to number provided by the
two rivals.
Netflix Is Getting So Original, It's Overtaken HBO
- By michael liedtke, ap technology writer
Look out, HBO. Netflix
produced more original programming than cable's premium-network leader
last year, according to number provided by the two rivals. The Internet
video service isn't slowing down, either, even if it risks losing
subscribers to price increases that will help pay for more exclusive
shows.
Since its push into original shows kicked off in earnest with the 2013
debut of "House of Cards," Netflix has hit the fast-forward button. Last
year, it put out 450 hours of original programming, compared to 401
from Time Warner's HBO. This year, both companies say they expect to
release roughly 600 hours of original material.
HBO, of course, is the network Netflix CEO Reed Hastings set out to
emulate when his service began charting a course away from streaming TV
reruns and previously released movies. Ted Sarandos, the company's head
of programming, famously told GQ back in 2013 that Netflix's goal was "to become HBO faster than HBO can become us."
Netflix is aiming to put itself into "an entirely different and supreme
league" from its rivals, says Tom Numan, a former TV network and studio
executive who now lectures at UCLA's graduate school of theater, film
and television. The company's goal, he says, is to become the first
global network for original shows and movies.
With Netflix now available in 190 countries, Hastings expects Netflix to
surpass 100 million subscribers next year. During a review of Netflix's
results on Monday, Hastings declared the company "really excited" about
the boost it expects from its growing library of exclusive programs.
Amazon.com,
Hulu and other services are scrambling to catch up with their own moves
into original programming. Although its own original slate is only a
quarter the size of Netflix's, Amazon.com can boast that its shows won
more Emmy awards last year than its rival.
Netflix is counting on a vast library of original programming to help
keep subscribers on board as it faces tougher competition. Amazon, for
instance, just started offering its streaming-video service for $9 a month
; previously, you had to sign up for the company's $100-a-year Prime
service, which includes free shipping from its e-commerce site and other
goodies.
Amazon is undercutting Netflix's $10 monthly price for its most popular
video-streaming plan, as is Hulu, which charges $8. HBO charges $15 per
month for a video-streaming service it launched last year to compete
against Netflix.
Netflix will test the loyalty of its long-time subscribers next month
when it starts to hike their prices 25 percent, following a two-year
freeze that kept rates at $8 per month. The increase will hit 17 million
to 22 million U.S. subscribers, based on analyst estimates.
Original programming doesn't come cheap. The Los Gatos, California,
company ended March with $12.3 billion committed to Internet streaming
rights, nearly double the $5.6 billion it spend at the end of 2012.
Netflix hasn't disclosed how much of that spending has gone toward
original series and exclusive movies, but the percentage has been
steadily increasing.
The cost of licensing and overseas expansion has whittled Netflix's
profit margins. In its first-quarter results released late Monday, the
company said it earned $28 million, or 6 cents per share, on revenue of
nearly $2 billion. Investors, though, are far more focused the company's
subscriber growth.
So far, the company has delivered. Netflix picked up an additional 6.74
million customers in the first quarter to boost its worldwide audience
to 81.5 million subscribers — up from 33 million before the first season
of "House of Cards." Such gains helped propel Netflix's share price,
which has more than quadrupled since then, creating about $36 billion in
shareholder wealth.
But Netflix's stock price dropped nearly 8 percent in extended trading
late Monday after the company predicted it would only add 2.5 million
subscribers in the second quarter, including a gain of 500,000 customers
in the U.S. The conservative forecast reflected the anticipated loss of
some longtime subscribers due to the price increase.
There's a worrisome history here. In 2011, subscribers fled when Netflix
split off its DVD-by-mail operation from its burgeoning streaming
business, a shift that hiked prices as much as 60 percent for some
subscribers.
Netflix lost 3 percent of its U.S. subscribers at the time. A similar
reaction to next month's price increase might cost it 510,000 to 660,000
subscribers in the second quarter.
Analysts think a repeat is unlikely. "I don't think you are going to see
a lot of people bailing out and running for the exits," said Rosenblatt
Securities analyst Martin Pyykkonen — largely because Netflix now has
so many shows you can't find anywhere else.
That original programming appears to be a major draw for many
subscribers. In a recent online survey of 2,500 U.S. adults conducted by
Morgan Stanley, 45 percent cited it as a reason to subscribe to
Netflix.
HBO, however, still has a huge advantage over Netflix in terms of prestige. Last year, HBO won 43 Emmys, more than any other TV network, while Netflix's original programs garnered just four — one less than Amazon.com.
———
AP Business Writer Ryan Nakashima in Los Angeles contributed to this story.
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