Arctic
cyclones are more common during the summer than winter; however, summer
cyclones tend to be weaker than the storms that batter the region
during the winter.
It’s worth re-stating. The Starks were wrong. Winter isn’t coming.
Winter, as we know it, is dying. Dying one tenth of a degree of global
oceanic and atmospheric warming at a time. Steadily dying with each ton
of heat-trapping greenhouse gasses emitted through our vastly
irresponsible and terrifyingly massive burning of fossil fuels.
Scribbler warns that “we’ve never, not once, seen this kind of heat
set up at the North Pole during January.” Blame this coming event on the
media named Winter Storm Jonas. The storm left 19 dead in the United
States and now has Britain and Wales in its sight before getting sucked
up in a northern low next week.
(UCAR’s North Pole temperature data record since 1948 per Bob Henson shows no above freezing days at the North Pole during January through late April. But it could happen next week.)
This is remarkable and should have us biting our nails in terror.
This coming Tuesday, remember that temperatures "may push the North Pole
up above freezing on a, black as night, January day”:
According to Global Forecast Systems model reanalysis by Earth Nullschool,
it appears that a record warm Earth atmosphere and ocean system is
again taking aim at the High Arctic. Another synoptic daisy chain of
storms funneling warm, south-to-north winds — dredging them up from the
tropics, flinging them across thousands of miles of North Atlantic Ocean
waters, driving them up over Svalbard and toward the North Pole — is
predicted to set up by early morning Monday.
The anchor of these dervishes of Equator-to-Pole heat transfer is the
very Winter Storm Jonas that just crippled the Eastern US with record
snowfall amounts and storm surges that have beaten some of the highest
seas seen during Superstorm Sandy. A second, hurricane force low in the
range of 950 mb is predicted to set up between Iceland and Greenland.
But the tip of this spear of record atmospheric heat pointed directly at
the Arctic is a third, but somewhat milder 990 mb, storm.
And it is this northern low that will draw a leading edge of record
warmth into the Arctic. An anomalous, ocean-originating heat front that
will spread its pall of air warm enough to melt sea ice during Winter
north of Svalbard tomorrow. A swath of near and above-freezing
temperatures spreading inexorably Pole-ward. Reinforced by the
supporting lows and the synoptic wave of warmth in train, this storm is
predicted to drive near or slightly above freezing temperatures into the
region of 90 North Latitude by late Tuesday or early Wednesday. An
event that would be unprecedented, at least in modern meteorological
reckoning. One that may well be unprecedented for the whole of the
Holocene.
To put such extraordinary temperatures into context, this predicted
record polar warmth is in the range of 55 degrees (F) above normal for
January. And for such a typically frigid region, these temperatures are
more usual for June, July, or August. Or, to make another comparison,
for Gaithersburg, Maryland it would be like seeing readings above 94
degrees (F) for the same Winter day.
The fossil fuel industries need to pay the bills for climate catastrophe. It is only fair and just that they do.
Live Arctic wind patterns can be seen here.
end quote from:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/01/24/1474483/-Unprecedented-Three-warm-January-Arctic-storms-aim-to-unfreeze-the-N-Pole-again-this-week
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