The point being they both had at least a 2% kill rate worldwide and the Spanish Flu killed 20 to 50 million people in 1918. But, how did this happen?
Well. It started to kill people at a much much slower rate (like right now) in March 1918 and started fading out in April. But, then over 100,000 people started dying by October here in the U.S. What if the present Coronavirus does the same thing?
Here is the population of the World in 1917: 1.9 billion.
So, if the Spanish Flu killed let's say 50 million in 1918 worldwide we divide 1.9 billion into 50 million to get the percentage of people that died (approximately then) the percentage is 2.63 percent of the people at that rate.
The present population of earth in March 2020 is 7.8 billion people so we ask what 2.63 percent of 7.8 billion people is?
205, 140,000 people. So, if this present coronavirus kills at a similar rate as the Spanish flu did (ratio wise) then it might kill
more then 205 million people worldwide by the end of winter this time next year. Right?
But, it wouldn't kill 95% of them or more until next fall and winter worldwide.
A population change this great would likely turn the world upside down in many many ways similar to World War I and World War II because of all the deaths concentrated in such a small time.
However, who would the world blame for this?
China? Trump? Who?
Unless it could be proven likely it would be seen as an "Act of God" like the 1918 Spanish Flu.
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