The 1930s were one kind of Chaos caused by the Stock Market Crash of 1929. Then world War II happened which might have been economically beneficial for the U.S. and very few other countries but things never were "Back to Normal" really and I'm not sure normal ever really happens anywhere.
Some people survive and some people don't. This is what has always happened. The people that survive survive and the people that don't don't. But, normal I don't believe ever really happens in people's lives.
It's true that better things might happen in richer nations than in poor ones but that has nothing to do with normal. So, What Gates might be saying is that richer nations will be in a place similar to where they were before in 2022 more than anything else.
But, remember it is likely the whole world won't be fully vaccinated until 2024 at the very least. So, this "Normal" could only exist in the richer nations if they kept out everyone from the non-vaccinated nations until most of the nations are fully vaccinated not only with present vaccinations but also with boosters designed to combat newer Variants as well on a yearly or bi-yearly basis. And these boosters likely will be necessary for many many years to come the way this presently looks in ALL nations on earth for ANY nations to be fully free of coronavirus variants ongoing.
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