By hitching their wagon to Iran, Houthis likely doomed their future and the future of Yemen because Saudi Arabia cannot allow them to continue to exist. It is either Saudi Arabia or Houthis who will survive. So, by accepting arms from Iran it is possible the Houthis doomed Yemen to oblivion through constant bombing by Sunni Arab States led by Saudi Arabia.
However, if Saudi Arabia bankrupts itself bombing Houthis in Yemen that also could end Saudi Arabia too. So, it could go either way now. Either way most people in Yemen are now starving and dying and this is continuing to happen every day now.
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SANA,
Yemen — Before the war, the Officers Club in downtown Sana was a prime
recreation destination, known for its pool and garden cafe. Now, like
much of Sana, the Yemeni capital, its bombed-out remnants are controlled
by …
Clear in Visit to Yemen’s Capital
SANA,
Yemen — Before the war, the Officers Club in downtown Sana was a prime
recreation destination, known for its pool and garden cafe.
Now,
like much of Sana, the Yemeni capital, its bombed-out remnants are
controlled by gun-wielding rebels from the group known as the Houthis.
Dressed in ragtag uniforms and brimming with Islamist fervor, they
pointed out holes from airstrikes and the rubble that had once been the
Police Academy.
Still, they insisted their seizure of the capital had been good for Yemen.
“There
was too much corruption and looting before,” said Masoud Saad, 19, who
had dropped out of middle school to become a fighter. “We wanted to
present the true religion of God in a correct way.”
Once a provincial militant movement in the mountains of northern Yemen, the Houthis
surged to prominence after they seized control of the country’s
northwest in 2014. Since then, they have pushed the national government
into exile and set off a new Middle Eastern war in which they are in the
cross hairs of an intensive bombardment campaign by Saudi Arabia and a coalition of Arab countries.
Now they are struggling to govern in the middle of a war that has ground to a destructive stalemate.
In
an interview in his car, because the Defense Ministry had been bombed,
Brig. Gen. Sharaf Luqman, a spokesman for Houthi-allied military units,
acknowledged that the front lines had scarcely moved in the past year.
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“We have lost everything, our infrastructure, and we have nothing left to lose,” he said. “Now it is a long war of attrition.”
The
Houthis’ control of such key territory has made them essential to
international efforts to end the conflict, leaving policy makers and
negotiators struggling to figure out what they want. And the group’s
anti-American stance rankles Washington, which used to count on the
Yemeni government as an ally against Al Qaeda and has aided Saudi Arabia
in its military campaign against the rebels.
The
rebels’ slogan is spray-painted on walls and checkpoints throughout
their territory: “God is great. Death to America. Death to Israel. Curse
on the Jews. Victory for Islam.”
The
Houthi movement began as a religious revival in the 1990s among Zaydi
Muslims, an Arab religious minority in northern Yemen who sought to push
back against efforts by Saudi Arabia to spread its fundamentalist
version of Sunni Islam.
The
group takes its name from its founder, Hussein Badr Eddin al-Houthi,
who was killed by Yemeni forces in 2004. His followers launched an
insurgency against the government, and developed as a guerrilla force in
a series of civil wars.
That
background of insurgency rooted in backwater parts of the Arab world’s
poorest state forged the group into a strong fighting force but gave it
few skilled politicians, intellectuals or technocrats — a weakness
glaringly apparent during a recent visit by New York Times journalists
in Sana.
Much
of the Houthis’ administration relies on civil servants who chafe under
their control and on followers of a former president, Ali Abdullah Saleh, who has allied with them.
Further impeding their efforts at governance is the Saudi bombardment, which has gravely damaged an already weak economy and infrastructure.
In
interviews during a recent trip to Yemen, Houthi leaders and fighters
described themselves as “revolutionaries” in the mold of Hezbollah in
Lebanon or Hamas in Gaza, saying their aim was to cleanse the country of
corrupt leaders they considered beholden to foreign powers. In
describing their goals, they spouted beliefs that often clashed with
their behavior.
“I
saw that they stood with justice and the oppressed,” said Majid Ali,
who dropped out of a Sana university to join the Houthis when they
seized the capital. “The goal was not to take control, but to help the
oppressed and the weak.”
But
their enemies in Yemen and Saudi Arabia insist that the Houthis are a
dangerous proxy force being used by Iran to expand its influence and
challenge Saudi influence.
Analysts
and diplomats who follow Yemen say the reality is somewhere in between.
While commonly considered Shiite, the Houthis’ Zaydi sect differs
significantly from Iran’s official Shiite creed, and historically ties
between the Houthis and Iran were not strong.
But
their shared hatred for Saudi Arabia has brought them together in the
current conflict, and Iran has given the Houthis weapons and technical
help to attack Saudi forces along the border.
April
Longley Alley, a Yemen analyst with the International Crisis Group,
said the Houthis’ surge out of the north to seize the capital had been
opportunistic. Their objectives included gaining a decisive stake in
national decision-making and in Yemen’s military and security apparatus.
What remains unclear, she said, is how the war has changed those goals.
“Now
that they are in the capital, the question is how much of a stake do
they think they can hold on to after this experience with governance,”
she said.
During
our 10-day trip to Sana and nearby provinces, it was clear that the
Houthis were in charge. Their authorities issued our visas, determined
what sites we could visit and assigned us a minder to make sure we stuck
to the program.
Houthi
checkpoints dotted the roads, sometimes less than a mile apart, and
some of the scrappy young fighters who manned them struggled to read our
Houthi-issued permits before allowing us to pass. While this slowed
traffic, Houthi security measures have put a stop to the suicide
bombings and assassinations that used to be frequent in the capital,
perhaps their greatest achievement in governing.
When
the internationally recognized Yemeni government of President Abdu
Rabbu Mansour Hadi fled Sana, much of the state bureaucracy remained.
Since then, the Houthis have worked with followers of Mr. Saleh, the
former president, who was forced from power in 2012, to extend their control over the weakened organs of the state.
Many
ministries have been bombed by the Saudi-led coalition, and those still
intact are nearly empty, their employees staying home for fear of
airstrikes and because they are not being paid.
In
many cases, the Houthis have installed their loyalists as overseers,
giving militants with few qualifications authority over civil servants
with significant experience.
One
Sana-based businessman recalled going to a police station to file a
complaint and finding a dozen officers unable to take action without
orders from their new Houthi boss.
To
visit Sana’s main pediatric and maternity hospital, we had to get
permission from its new “director,” a Houthi in a robe and plastic
sandals who allowed that his sole qualification was a diploma in
nursing.
A
nurse who had worked there for 16 years said he had not been paid in
two months and complained that the Houthis had no way to fund their
administration.
“And
if you go out and protest to ask for your rights, they could take you
to prison,” he said, speaking on the condition of anonymity for fear of
arrest. “It’s all armed militias.”
Officially overseeing the Houthis’ attempt to govern is the High Political Council, formed this year.
In
an interview in the Republican Palace, Yemen’s equivalent of the White
House, the council’s head, Saleh al-Sammad, called the body “the highest
authority in the country,” but acknowledged that the state’s main
sources of income were out of its hands.
The
council took another hit in September when President Hadi moved Yemen’s
Central Bank, which paid the salaries of 1.2 million civil servants, to
the southern port city of Aden, where his rival administration has a
presence.
Mr.
Sammad blamed Saudi Arabia, the United States and the United Nations
for Yemen’s growing humanitarian crisis, but said it would only
intensify people’s will to fight.
“Most
of the Yemeni people are armed, and they consider Saudi Arabia
responsible for their humiliation,” he said. “The worse the economic
situation gets, the more people will be pushed toward confrontation and
the fronts.”
The
Houthis’ fighting mettle and alliance with some Yemeni military units
has enabled them to stage painful attacks on Saudi Arabia and fire
ballistic missiles over the border, killing Saudi soldiers and
civilians.
The
group’s endgame remains unclear, however. It has participated in peace
talks and agreed to a recent cease-fire, but the truce expired on
Monday, amid accusations by both sides of violations and with no sign of
when talks might resume.
Many
Yemenis in the country’s south and east oppose what they see as a
Houthi coup, and measuring the depth of their support in areas
controlled by the Houthis is difficult.
Human
rights organizations have accused the Houthis of indiscriminate attacks
on civilian areas, arbitrary arrests of political opponents and
torture. But some Yemenis who have been living under Houthi rule said
the Saudi intervention had unified diverse forces against a common
enemy.
“What
brought the army together with Ansar Allah?” asked Tariq Mohammed, a
policeman in the town of Hajjah, using another name for the Houthis.
“The aggression against the country. That is what caused us to come
together as one hand.”
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