In China for people under 35 years old the unemployment rate is over 16 percent compared to about 9% here in the U.S. for those under 35.
So, the very low birth rate in China, Japan and the U.S. and many many other developed countries is going to get worse because of AI and how expensive it is to have and to raise children now almost anywhere on Earth.
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Over the last 5-year period (2021–2025), China experienced an overall net population loss of 11 to 12 million people.
This net shrinkage is the result of deaths consistently outpacing births in a rapidly aging society.
The Breakdown (2021–2025)
Total Deaths vs. Total Births
Demographic experts at the Rhodium Group
warn that this structural decline will place significant stress on
China's workforce and pension systems in the coming decades. For
comprehensive historical data, you can track these trends over time on Macrotrends.
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Apr 22, 2026 — We estimate China will lose nearly 60 million people in the next decade, roughly equivalent to the population of France.
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