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Back In 2000, The CIA Made These Predictions For 2015
By Nicholas Carlson
11 hours ago
"International affairs are increasingly determined by large and powerful organisations rather than governments." Verdict: Probably true. Though it is sometimes hard to distinguish between non-state actors and state actors. Just look at the Islamic State or the possibly-not-North Korean hackers who took down Sony.
"Between now and 2015 terrorist tactics will become increasingly sophisticated and designed to achieve mass casualties." Verdict: Definitely true. Sadly, this prediction became true within months.
"Iraq and Iran [will] develop long range missiles in the near
future. Iran … could be testing such weapons by as early as the coming
year, and cruise missiles by 2004." Verdict: Both true and false. Iran is definitely working on an ICBM, but it won't test it till next year."The world population will grow by more than one billion, to 7.2 billion." Verdict: True.
"Energy resources will be sufficient to meet demand." Verdict: Nailed it. Companies are actually canceling plans to dig up more natural gas because oil is abundant right now.
"China's economy will grow to overtake Europe as the world's second largest but still behind the United States." Verdict: True-ish. By some measurements, China's economy is now larger than the US economy.
"Europe will not achieve fully the dreams of parity with the US as a shaper of the global economic system." Verdict: Correct. The report was way too bullish on the European economy, which is "going nowhere" these days.
"Aids,
famine, and continuing economic and political turmoil means that
populations in many [African] countries will actually fall." Verdict: False. Africa's population rose from 800 million in 2000 to 1.1 billion in 2014.
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end quote from:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/back-2000-cia-made-predictions-190900237.html
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