Is that when it last happened during the Great Recession it happened a full 2 years before the 2007 meltdown so in 2005. So, it's also possible we have up to 2 years before the recession (or recession leading into a World Wide Depression) actually happens.
But, to me, a recession would be due anyway no matter whether there was a Trade War with China or not about now for a variety of reasons (mostly because Trump triggered inflation by reducing unemployment past a certain point). But, that being said, the Trade war could very easily take this thing into presently unknown territory worldwide and way past any recession we have ever had very very easily into a 2nd Great Depression either just for the U.S. or for the whole world.(either one).
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