Thursday, October 29, 2020

We are presently at a 74,000 average per day new tested coronavirus cases: What does this mean in fatalities?

The minimum amount of people that are likely to die per day (within the next month or so) will be daily about 1850 per day which is 2.5% of the 74,000 which is usually the statistical minimum of deaths for this many people per day testing positive now ongoing on average (also this average will likely increase significantly nationwide between now and February and March before it starts to reduce once again by April or May of 2021.

However, since midwest states hospital systems are now pretty much overwhelmed we might need to expect about a 5% death rate because of this. IF things get beyond about 100,000 new cases per day we also might expect up to a 10% death rate of those tested too because of a completely overwhelmed  hospital system throughout the midwest.

A 5% death rate per day would be 3700 people dying per day ongoing and a 10% rate of people dying per day at 74,000 new cases per day would be: 7400 deaths per day ongoing.

However, we are likely moving presently towards 100,000 cases per day by December and January under present conditions and a 2.5% death rate for 100,000 new tested cases per day would be: 2500 per day as a minimum by the time we reach December and January of 2021. 

Also, a 5% death rate at 100,000 per day would be 5000 deaths per day and a 10% death rate would be 10,000 deaths per day at a 100,000 new tested cases per day. 

The ONLY reason why so many people are getting maimed and dying is because Trump is in denial of the realities for his own selfish reasons which are all financial for himself and his family. So, people are dying because Trump cares about his finances more than whether Republicans and Democrats die or not.

Whatever the death rate you need to multiply by 3 because 2/3 of the deaths are people who were never tested and so don't show up in any numbers.

According to my Coronavirus Realtime Updates app on my smartphone it says that there are presently

232,500  tested deaths which means that the real number of American Deaths is around 3 times this or:

697500 American Deaths so far according to these 

figures which includes both the tested and the 

untested deaths here in the U.S. But, once again

this is only an approximation. To get a more exact

figure you need to take the number and then divide

the number by 8000 and then multiply by15,000 and 

then you need to add the figure you get to the original 

figure to get the actual total of deaths because 3 times

the initial figure is only an estimate and somewhat

more than the actual figure.


So, the minimum amount of new deaths will be 

336,700 during the next 6 months that are tested 

nationwide on top of the present 232,500 deaths 

reported so far.

However, since it is likely given all present conditions

that 100,000 people or more will be tested positive

per day by December and January it could easily be

double 336,700 within the next 6 months too in 

addition to the 232,500 deaths that have been tested

so far. And remember you need to multiply whatever

figure you get by about 3 or more specifically

divide by 8000 and multiply that by 15,000 to get

the non-tested deaths which then can be added to 

whatever total you get for the greatest degree of 

accuracy possible at present.

However, just remember almost anything can and 

will happen between now and 6 months from now

to make all this much better or much worse.

In other words if Biden gets in many less deaths will

occur from coronavirus whereas if Trump gets in

literally ANY amount of new deaths is possible 

under these present conditions.

 

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