Brookings Expert Explained How To Fix Iraq Last Week — Then The Opposite Happened
REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst
He argued that the U.S. should provide substantial military support to Iraq's military only if Shi'ite Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and Iraq's leading politicians "agree to settle the deep sectarian conflicts that have brought the country to its present plight."
President Barack Obama echoed the argument a few days later when he said any American military in Iraq "has to be joined by a serious and sincere effort by Iraq's leaders to set aside sectarian differences."
Pollack concluded that the difficult steps probably would not be taken, partly because "Baghdad may refuse to surrender its iron grip over the political system."
He has since been proven correct. Maliki is consolidating his power as the chasm between Iran-backed Shi'ites and Sunnis grows with every passing bullet.
Earlier this week, Pollack detailed the military situation as Sunni tribesman and extremist militants captured advanced toward Baghdad and Shi'ite volunteers took up arms.
He predicted that outside a significant influx of military assistance, "the fighting will probably continue for years and hundreds of thousands will die."
President Obama has beefed up security around U.S. assets in Iraq, and has decided against air strikes in the short term.
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