epidemiologists: Worst case scenario for U.S. is 2.2 million deaths: part 2

However, states like California and New York and others shutting down are likely reducing their death rates by around 50%. It's sort of like what Governor Cuomo of New York Said paraphrased: "We will have 40% to 80% of the people infected over the next few months by shutting down we might be able to keep it down to 40% people infected with Coronavirus. This 40% mostly might not even get sick but only be carriers. Only 20 percent of those carrying it will actually get sick and only 2% of those that get sick will die.

So, basically this is what happens when a majority of people in the U.S. get coronavirus. But, hopefully, sheltering in place will at least reduce this death toll to around 1 million or less.

I'm very concerned about doctors and nurses at this point all over the U.S. because already 13 doctors or more have already died in Italy just from treating coronavirus patients in hospitals  with coronavirus.

If Doctors and nurses start dying here in the U.S. that is just a multiplier for how many people will die untreated here in the U.S. with no one alive to treat them.

This is why hospitals are desperate for good masks and protective equipment to keep their doctors and nurses alive so they can treat more people.

For every doctor you lose to coronavirus you are likely losing 10 to 100 to 1000 people that could have been treated by that doctor. And this is true worldwide at this point.


For example, I think this website underestimates American losses of life which would make the loss of 2.2 million but if I divide 2.2 million by 405,000 as listed below it comes up 5.4320 etc. which means almost 6 times the amount of Americans that died in World War II if these numbers are correct.

However, I believe presently that Americans will keep the deaths under 1 million by sheltering in place to reduce contact with others in this wave of the coronavirus. However, there are likely to be several waves of this not just this one until June or August here in the U.S. The 1918 flu killed 100,000 people just in October 1918 for example.

It's going to be very hard balancing feeding the people under 50 years old and keeping alive the people over 50 during these times. I'm not sure how this is going to be accomplished at this point?

Deaths in World War II

In total, over 405,000 Americans gave their lives in the conflict. The military breaks out figures by state for the Army, which was the branch that contributed the most lives to the effort, by far. Nearly 235,000 soldiers were killed in battle during the war, with over 300,000 dying in total.Aug 14, 2017

Here's how many Americans have already died to defeat the ...