Thursday, March 12, 2020

Ohio governor:

"If you have one or two confirmed cases of Coronavirus in your state then you actually have 1% of the population carrying it according to health care researchers in Ohio. So, if you wait at that point it might be too late because the amount of exposures is going to double every 6 days. So, if you have 100,000 people exposed today you will have 200,000 exposed in 6 days and so on."

I think he meant that 100,000 people might be 1% of the population of Ohio. The population of Ohio is 11.69 million by the way. 1% of 10,000,000 is maybe 100,000. I checked that's what it is.

The Above was paraphrased from the governor of Ohio's mouth and why Ohio has closed down all public schools in the state and likely the same for the governors of Kentucky and Maryland too.

Based upon the math I have seen in pandemic research in past outbreaks from universities he's right.

For example, nationwide the amount of coronavirus cases has at least tripled since last Friday. So, next week by this time it might triple again (the total amount of confirmed cases). At some point we will reach a saturation point of 20% to 50% of the public and at that point you will see many more fatalities than now.

The real problem is we don't know what the peak for any state will be and that is the problem because you won't be able to plan for the peak for treatment of the sick until you know more what that peak will be.

Will it be 1000: 10,000: 100,000: 1 million or what will it be statewide or nationally?

I heard the Ohio Governor speak live about this on CNN TV.

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