Wednesday, July 9, 2014

Marc Faber: The asset bubble has begun to burst

Marc Faber: The asset bubble has begun to burst

Marc Faber: The asset bubble has begun to burst













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<p>Marc Faber: We&#039;re entering a bear market</p> <p>Marc Faber of the Gloom, Boom &amp; Doom Report says all asset prices are in a &#039;colossal bubble,&#039; and a bear market is ahead. With CNBC&#039;s Jackie DeAngelis and the Futures Now Traders.</p>
It's the question investors everywhere are wrestling with: Are asset prices in a bubble, or do they simply reflect the fact that the global economy is growing once again?

For Marc Faber, editor of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, the answer is clear. In fact, he says the bubble may already be bursting.
"I think it's a colossal bubble in all asset prices, and eventually it will burst, and maybe it has begun to burst already," Faber said Tuesday on CNBC's 'Futures Now' as the S&P 500 lost ground for the second-straight session.
Read More Welcome to the Everything Boom, or maybe the Everything Bubble
Of course, Faber has long been expecting a market decline. But for the precise reason that stocks have simply continued to rise, he's now become even more bearish.
"Obviously I've been wrong in the sense that I expected a correction to occur over the last two years, and it hasn't happened since October 2011, when the S&P was at 1,074. We've gone up in a straight line, without a larger correction than 11 percent, and I think we're not going to have a correction, but we're going to have a bear market," he said.
Read MoreVIX 20 percent jump could be message for stocks
(Watch Marc Faber discuss his call Wednesday on "Closing Bell" at 3:10 pm ET)
The first issue is that, Thursday's big jobs number aside, Faber doesn't believe that the economy is actually improving.
Read More Bull market in its final stage: Ed Yardeni

"I don't believe that the global economy is strengthening; I rather think the global economy is weakening," he said. And "there are other issues that may put the weight on the markets that will push prices lower. A, I think that we have in the White House, a very poor president, and that may lead to some political issues in the U.S. domestically. B, we have numerous political issues to consider, And C, we could have, potentially, a much higher oil price."
Read MoreCashin: What's weighing on Wall Street this week

All in all, Faber is looking for a 30 percent drop in the S&P 500.
Meanwhile, it is worth nothing that while few are as bearish as Faber, several strategists have similarly been calling for a correction.
Read MoreWhy this bullish pro sees big market drop soon
Jeffrey Saut, the generally bullish chief market strategist at Raymond James, called on Monday for a "decent pullback" in mid-July or early August. And Canaccord Genuity chief equity strategist Tony Dwyer, who has the highest year-end S&P target on the Street at 2,185, continues to foresee a 5 to 10 percent correction in the near-term.
Read More Wall Street's biggest bull calls for a correction

—By CNBC's Alex Rosenberg
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Marc Faber: The asset bubble has begun to burst

I personally don't get a lot regarding this article. What does make sense to me though would be that as oil prices rise, so do things like food, transportation and literally everything people buy around the world.

As everything becomes more expensive because of higher oil prices people buy less of everything. This part is logical to me. I might compare it to what happened during the Arab Oil embargo in the early 1970s. Gasoline went from 17 cents a gallon to 85 cents a gallon and then gyrated all over the place between about 25 cents a gallon up to 85 cents a gallon. However, it would be like now gasoline going to 16 dollars a gallon and then gyrating between 10 dollars a gallon to 16 dollars a gallon. Basically, it caused successive recessions in the 1970s and 1980s because for example, people started buying more gas efficient cars just to survive their drives to work and got rid of their gas guzzlers and muscle cars except for on weekends for fun. 

And then you have the shale oil boom. As oil prices rise more people get into the shale oil market until that market becomes saturated around the world and then oil prices decline. Then on top of this you have Solar Cells and nano solar cells changing the way we live worldwide over time as well. So, all these things will greatly change the way developed countries operate but as oil prices rise 50% of the world also might starve being unable to pay prices for food unless they grow it themselves.


 

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