I was talking to a friend and when I said that I realized intuitively and logically that we could go into an ice age during the next 100 years he said, "Yes. I talked to a PHD who said the same thing but most people don't believe it because they haven't studied it enough to know it's true".
So, I guess I was right about how the extreme evaporation during an El Nino (or other anomalous event) could trigger an ice age when the timing combined with a dropping polar vortex.
The real problem with this is millions who might be trapped by such and even and therefore lost during it world wide.
Here is the scenario I worry about most:
1. People don't like to die of Heat prostration like they did this year in Pakistan and India so they migrate either northwards (in the northern Hemisphere) or they go to a higher altitude like the Himalayas, Andes, Alps, Sierras, Rockies etc.
However, they might not realize that this could be fatal under some conditions.
2. What could happen next (and likely is actually the cause of ice ages) is global Warming causing extreme evaporation causing too much clouds and precipitation over periods of time.
3. Mostly this causes extreme flooding like we saw in the Mississippi river region and In Texas, Alabama, Mississippi, and other mostly eastern states from the El Nino effect of incredible amounts of evaporation off the Pacific ocean traveling across Baja California and Mexico and then up through either Texas, Arizona, or New Mexico and across into the south and the East.
4. However, what happens when 10 to 20 inches of rain meets a dropping polar vortex?
The answer to this is (1 foot of snow for every inch of rain).
So, let's say theoretically this condition happens (and it will eventually by probability). So, you hear about 5 to 10 inches of rain in 1, 2, or 3 day periods.
Imagine 5 to 10 inches of rain falling while the polar vortex dropped into the U.S. , Europe, Asia or Siberia on down into China?
What do you have?
You have then a refrigerator that makes it's own weather. If you have ever lived in the mountains like I have when you have snow that tends to make more snow and more snow instead of rain. But, each and every 1 inch of rain can bring 1 foot of snow in the conversion. So, this just becomes a train wreck wherever extreme evaporation meets polar Vortex.
This likely could not happen in Coastal California because of the 90 plus degree then Ocean at that point. But, what do you have from the Sierras eastwards?
You have 5 to 20 feet of snow from the Sierras eastwards across Nevada across Colorado, across New Mexico, northern Arizona etc.
So, what happens when you get 20 or more feet of this stuff? Then even if the polar vortex leaves you have a refrigerator refrigerating the air and causing the next precipitation to come down as snow rather than as rain.
And then this cycle goes crazy.
90 plus water in the Pacific, extreme evaporation, extreme cloudiness, no sun or very little ever touching the earth to melt the snow, more precipitation that then comes down in the form of snow because of the snow already there and continuing doing this first 6 months a year, then 8 months a year then 10 or 12 months a year. So, at this point the snow becomes like a glacier and doesn't melt at all sort of like how a block of ice can last a long time even at 100 or more degrees if it is a big enough block of ice. Then the next winter this unmelted block of ice just draws more and more snow until this is an average of between 5 and 20 feet deep from the Sierras east almost to the Atlantic ocean where at some point north it would reach the ocean but further south at some point it wouldn't.
But, in the short run of any given winter you might have people trapped in their homes in the woods or plains out in the country where unless a helicopter or snowmobile rescued them they might never get out again.
Here's the other reason this is plausible.
If you study long term weather history on earth you have 10,000 years of warm weather then you have 100,000 years of ice age. So, for every 10,000 years we have warm weather (like the last 10,000 years) you have 100,000 years on average of ice age in between these 10,000 warm years.
So, my question to you might be:
How many developed civilizations like we are in now in the past were completely wiped out to the point where they died or had to leave the planet already in Earth's history because of past ice ages?
To the best of my ability I write about my experience of the Universe Past, Present and Future
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