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The Pacific Ocean near San Francisco is experiencing record-breaking warming (a severe marine heatwave, ) in early 2026, driven by a combination of weak
coastal winds that reduce cooling upwelling, a persistent high-pressure
system, and long-term ocean warming from climate change. These factors are expected to be further amplified by the development of a potential "Super" .
Key Causes of Current Warming (May 2026):
- Weakened Upwelling: Normally, strong coastal winds force cold, nutrient-rich deep water to the surface (upwelling). Weakened winds have reduced this natural cooling mechanism, allowing the top layer of the ocean to heat up.
- Persistent High Pressure: A "ridging" pattern of high pressure has remained over the West Coast, reducing storm activity, decreasing cloud cover, and allowing the sun to heat the ocean surface more efficiently.
- Long-Term Climate Change: Human-caused climate change is raising the baseline temperature of the ocean, which has absorbed the vast majority of excess heat from greenhouse gas emissions.
- Impending El Niño: The impending conditions in 2026 are linked to warmer waters in the Pacific, which can intensify warm conditions along the California coast.
- Marine Heatwave : A significant, long-lasting marine heatwave has been tracked since May 2025, setting records for the size of such events in the Northeast Pacific.
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