Sunday, July 6, 2014

2045: Top Species will be AI not human

As I read the following article I have a slightly different take on all this. First of all, "What is Artificial Intelligence?"

If you have ever programmed a computer for yourself, you know that it is what your programmed it to be. Yes. Through (if then) or (Yes No) trees you have made it like your own personality through various subroutines so that it basically makes the kinds of decisions in life that you would that is what it is.

So, I find it sort of ridiculous that someone would say that AI is the Top Species simply because "We are AI". So, Yes, it can process some types of information lightning fast that might take us minutes or days or even years to process. But, other than just processing some information faster than we do what really is it?"

Artificial Intelligence is just an extension of whatever we are already as humans. It might do it faster and without a conscience guiding it. So, once it starts autonomously killing people no one would be able to stop it (or they) in a battle necessarily if it won't accept our commands. Yes. This is true.

Will it become self aware?

To me this isn't an important question because once you have autonomy like in a drone potentially, (this is already in place with hellfire missiles by the way) whenever the controller loses contact because of jamming or bad radio signals from satellites, the drone makes it's own decisions in how to fly, how to land and who to shoot with it's missiles. So, the problem he outlines in the following article already exists every day today in Predator drones armed with hellfire missiles.

begin quote:
  1. Kyiv Post ‎- 23 hours ago
    ... By 2045 'The top species will no longer be humans,' and that could be a ... "Today there's no legislation regarding how much intelligence a ...

    By 2045, Physicist Says 'The Top Species Will No Longer Be Humans'

    "Today there's no legislation regarding how much intelligence a machine can have, how interconnected it can be. If that continues, look at the exponential trend. We will reach the singularity in the timeframe most experts predict. From that point on you're going to see that the top species will no longer be humans, but machines." These are the words of Louis Del Monte, physicist, entrepreneur, and author of "The Artificial Intelligence Revolution." Del Monte spoke to us over the phone about his thoughts surrounding artificial intelligence and the singularity, an indeterminate point in the future when machine intelligence will outmatch not only your own intelligence, but the world's combined human intelligence too.
    The average estimate for when this will happen is 2040, though Del Monte says it might be as late as 2045. Either way, it's a timeframe of within three decades.
    "It won't be the 'Terminator' scenario, not a war," said Del Monte. "In the early part of the post-singularity world, one scenario is that the machines will seek to turn humans into cyborgs. This is nearly happening now, replacing faulty limbs with artificial parts. We'll see the machines as a useful tool. Productivity in business based on automation will be increased dramatically in various countries. In China it doubled, just based on GDP per employee due to use of machines."
    "By the end of this century," he continued, "most of the human race will have become cyborgs [part human, part tech or machine]. The allure will be immortality. Machines will make breakthroughs in medical technology, most of the human race will have more leisure time, and we'll think we've never had it better. The concern I'm raising is that the machines will view us as an unpredictable and dangerous species."
    Del Monte believes machines will become self-conscious and have the capabilities to protect themselves. They "might view us the same way we view harmful insects." Humans are a species that "is unstable, creates wars, has weapons to wipe out the world twice over, and makes computer viruses." Hardly an appealing roommate.
    He wrote the book as "a warning." Artificial intelligence is becoming more and more capable, and we're adopting it as quickly as it appears. A pacemaker operation is "quite routine," he said, but "it uses sensors and AI to regulate your heart."
    A 2009 experiment showed that robots can develop the ability to lie to each other. Run at the Laboratory of Intelligent Systems in the Ecole Polytechnique Federale of Lausanne, Switzerland, the experiment had robots designed to cooperate in finding beneficial resources like energy and avoiding the hazardous ones. Shockingly, the robots learned to lie to each other in an attempt to hoard the beneficial resources for themselves.
    "The implication is that they're also learning self-preservation," Del Monte told us. "Whether or not they're conscious is a moot point."

    end quote from:

    By 2045, Physicist Says 'The Top Species Will No Longer ...

    Also, if you program something to believe it is self aware, whether it is self aware or not it is going to act like it is. So, whether it actually is or not becomes a moot point because if it is in contradiction to you since it has no conscience you and your family might be dead. So, in this sense the author is right that this is what we need to be worrying about as humans: any AI that thinks it is self aware and doesn't care whether ANY  humans exist or not.

    Even if we in the U.S. didn't build something like this (look at the Predator Drone) other countries and individuals are going to build drones for air, land and sea that ethnically cleanse whole areas of land and sea. This is a given today. It is only a matter of when. 

    So, in the long run I wouldn't worry about what the U.S. does. Instead I would worry about North Korea, Iran, China, Russia and other places where the human right to exist and not be killed outright simply doesn't exist at all in regard to AI.

    This is one of the many reasons including Global Climate Change that I now presently believe human population is going to reduce this century by 1.5 to 3 billion people.

    So, that would mean that there would be 5.5 to 4 billion people left on earth in 2100.

    For example, right now, ISIL just ethnically cleansed all the territories it has taken of Shias. So, they either left or they are dead or pretending to be Sunnis.

    Now, Iran likely will ethnically cleanse whatever areas it takes back of Iraq and call all Sunnis Terrorists and kill them all in retaliation. But, then what happens next from all Sunni countries? 

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