Large sections of southern California are slowly rising or sinking, a groundbreaking new study shows.
Researchers have observed for the first time that, along portions of
the San Andreas fault, land on both sides is moving vertically by a few
millimeters each year. Such motion had been theorized but never proven.
Vertical movement of tectonic plates is difficult to track compared
with horizontal movement, which is much easier to predict and the cause
of most earthquakes in California. GPS sensors helped the scientists
study large, southern areas of the state that included the Los Angeles
Basin, San Diego County and Santa Barbara, Calif.
“Using this technique, we were able to break down the noisy signals to
isolate a simple vertical motion pattern that curiously straddled the
San Andreas fault,” Samuel Howell, lead author of the study, said in a
statement. San Andreas fault ‘ready to go,’ expert warns of major earthquake
Previously, vertical movement had been difficult to detect because of
groundwater levels, Howell told the Los Angeles Times. As California's
large agriculture industry flushes out groundwater for irrigation, parts
of the state sink.
However, the study won't help predict when the next big earthquake will
take place. Rather, it is supposed to help researchers understand more
about the San Andreas fault itself and how its behavior will affect the
adjacent areas.
Howell said quakes along the southern San Andreas happen once every 150
years on average. The last major earthquake along the southern San
Andreas fault occurred in 1857 — a 7.9 magnitude quake, according to the
study.
The San Andreas fault forms the boundary between the tectonic plates
for most of North America and the Pacific Ocean and sits on the infamous
“Ring of Fire,” where a large number of earthquakes and volcanic
eruptions occur. It is also classified as a “strike-slip” fault, meaning
the plates move alongside each other horizontally.
Vertical movement is more common in “subduction zones,” where tectonic
plates instead press against each other and one side is forced into the
Earth's mantle over time. The Cascadia fault, which sits just north of
the San Andreas and stretches into Canada, is a known active subduction
zone.
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