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How Trump's Nomination Could Still Be Stopped
| Wall Street Journal | - |
Opponents
of presumptive nominee Donald Trump are taking their battle to the
Republican National Convention. The main venue for their fight is the
convention's rules committee, which drafts the rules governing how the
2,472 convention delegates will ...
How Trump’s Nomination Could Still Be Stopped
Donald Trump’s Republican opponents aim to clear the path for a different nominee by rewriting the rules of the national convention
Opponents of presumptive nominee Donald Trump are taking
their battle to the Republican National Convention. The main venue for
their fight is the convention’s rules committee, which drafts the rules
governing how the 2,472 convention delegates will select the party’s
nominee.
FIRST STOP
RULES COMMITTEE
PROPOSAL TO UNBIND TRUMP'S DELEGATES
Many delegates are “bound’’ to vote for Mr.
Trump as a result of GOP primaries and caucuses. Some want the rules
committee to ‘’unbind,’’ or free, the delegates so they can back anyone,
undermining his nomination. The proposal needs 57 votes for approval.
57 votes needed
112 votes total
PROPOSAL IS REJECTED
PROPOSAL IS APPROVED
If the proposal does not win 57 votes,
Mr. Trump’s opponents can try to persuade the
rules committee to issue a minority report. This requires only 28
votes. Approval would send the “unbinding’’ proposal to the full
convention, but without the committee’s seal of approval.
If approved by 57 committee members, the
proposal will be added to the committee’s rules package and sent to the
2,472 convention delegates for consideration.
WILL MINORITY REPORT PASS?
MINORITY REPORT APPROVED
MINORITY REPORT REJECTED
With support from 28
rules committee members, Mr. Trump’s
opponents can present their "unbinding" proposal to the 2,472 delegates,
putting Mr. Trump’s nomination in jeopardy.
Mr. Trump’s opponents have lost. Without
rules committee support or a minority report, they have no viable way to
ask the convention to “unbind’’ delegates.
TRUMP
NOMINATION
SURVIVES
UP NEXT
FULL CONVENTION
MINORITY REPORT
MAJORITY REPORT
The "unbinding" proposal goes to the full
convention without support from the rules committee. Approval requires
support from half of the 2,472 delegates.
The “unbinding’’ resolution goes to the full
convention as part of a broader rules package, with a recommendation
that it pass. Approval requires support from half of the 2,472
delegates.
PROPOSAL IS REJECTED
PROPOSAL IS APPROVED
PROPOSAL IS DENIED
PROPOSAL IS APPROVED
Trump opponents have no options. Without
majority support in the convention, they cannot change the voting rules,
leaving Mr. Trump with enough bound delegates to win the nomination.
If the minority proposal is approved,
delegates are free to “vote their conscience’’ and back any candidate to
be the presidential nominee. Who that would be is unclear.
If a majority of convention delegates back
the rules package, delegates are freed to vote for any candidate to be
presidential nominee. Who would win the nomination is unclear.
Trump opponents have no options. Without
majority support in the convention, they cannot change the voting rules,
leaving Mr. Trump with enough bound delegates to win the nomination.
TRUMP
NOMINATION
SURVIVES
TRUMP
NOMINATION
AT RISK
TRUMP
NOMINATION
AT RISK
TRUMP
NOMINATION
SURVIVES
FACTIONS OF THE CONVENTION
Mr. Trump has support from a majority of
delegates, but that support would slip if delegates were freed to back
any candidate for the nomination. About one-third of delegates are
considered solid Trump supporters; the preferences of many delegates are
unknown.
Support unknown/
up for grabs
901
Trump opponents/
Cruz supporters
683
2,472
total
delegates
Trump
delegates
888
PEOPLE TO WATCH
Kendal Unruh
Leader of the “Stop Trump’’ movement on the rules committee
Ms. Unruh, a high-school government teacher, leads the most organized anti-Trump effort. Ms. Unruh is a longtime party insider.
Bill Palatucci
One of four whips on the rules committee working for Donald Trump
Mr. Palatucci is a longtime right-hand man to Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey, who has become a top Trump ally.
Mike Lee
U.S. senator from Utah and potential swing vote on the rules panel
Mr. Lee has declined to endorse Mr.
Trump, citing the candidate’s demeanor and unpopularity in Mr. Lee’s
home state. If the anti-Trump side gets close to victory, Mr. Lee might
be moved to try to rally the votes needed to put the “unbinding”
proposal over the top.
Steve King
A longtime friend and political supporter of House Speaker Paul Ryan
Mr. King is considered a proxy for Mr. Ryan in the rules fight. That likely means: Make sure there’s no drama.
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