Originally published on Grist.
It’s finally raining in California — just when we’d begun to think
that it would never rain again. But the state is deep in water debt.
Traditionally, California has depended on snowmelt for about a third of
its water. The recent storms have gotten California’s snowpack up to
slightly above average for this time of year, but it’s going to take a
lot more than that to refill reservoirs.
First, the good news: snow!
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Compare the current snowpack (above) to this time last year.
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Why are we seeing more snow? Well, it got colder and wetter. Last
year, average minimum temperature in the Sierra Nevada mountains was
32.1 degrees, which meant it just wasn’t cold enough to snow in most
places. "Temperatures are getting warmer every year," said Doug Carlson,
an information officer at the California Department of Water Resources.
Last year a ridge of high-pressure air was deflecting storms, said
Nina Oakley, a research climatologist at the Western Regional Climate
Center. It was also warming things up. A high-pressure ridge means clear
skies (and therefore more warm sun), descending air (which also causes warming),
and in California it also meant more warm air coming from the south,
she said. Now we have just the opposite: low pressure, cloudy skies,
cold air from the north, and "a fairly steady parade of low pressure
systems," she said.
And yet, all that cold-looking purple and blue adds up to just over average for this time of year.
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The recent storms have added a lot of water to reservoirs, like the Folsom Reservoir, which catches the American River.
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But despite those inflows, most reservoirs have 50 percent of the water or less that they’d normally contain this time of year. California Department of Water Resources/Grist
And if you look at precipitation, it’s about average.
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Still, it’s too early to tell. California has seen more rain this
season than it had by this time in the drenching wet season of 1997 to
1998. If something like that happens again, the drought could be over.
"It’s just so darn unpredictable," Carlson said. "It could get going
like gangbusters, or it could peter out."
The National Weather Service, looking at the big picture, is expecting an improvement in the drought, but not an end to it.
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All this rain has gotten Californians a bit more liberal with their taps, and the state has (narrowly) missed its water conservation goals for the past two months. Rather than doing rain dances or buying shade balls, California should concentrate on implementing its groundwater law, capturing more water, and fixing up its water market
(which would allow water rights holders using cheap water for farming
to sell it for other uses). Even if the rain gods bless California this
year with enough water to end the drought, it will return. Grist is a nonprofit news site that uses humor to shine a light on big green issues. Get their email newsletter here, and follow them on Facebook and Twitter.
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