Friday, February 13, 2026

A substantial 64% of Americans believe a recession is coming within 12 months

I'm one of the person's that believes this too. However, maybe the important thing is that the 64% of people are stopping buying anything that isn't food or maybe inexpensive Clothes. This has a ripple effect throughout the economy because what 64% of the people do affects 100% of the economy. So, since they believe a recession is coming then their positioning will actually create that Recession or Great Depresssion because Trump is so crazy no one trusts him at all worldwide.

Without someone sane leading them the people perish worldwide. 

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Economic indicators for early 2026 present a mixed, "bifurcated" picture, leaving experts divided on whether a recession is imminent. While consumer sentiment remains low and debt is high, the overall economy shows resilience with low unemployment and a strong stock market
. A substantial 64% of Americans believe a recession is coming within 12 months, particularly those feeling financial pressure, though some forecasts suggest a 30-42% chance of a downturn.
Key Factors Shaping the Outlook:
  • Mixed Signals: While some analysts see a looming downturn due to stubborn inflation and high consumer debt, others see the economy navigating a "soft landing," with GDP growth forecasted to continue.
  • Sector Divergence: A "bifurcated" labor market shows strength in sectors like healthcare, while tech, media, and marketing face declines.
  • Regional & Corporate Views: Some analysts argue the economy is avoiding a downturn due to heavy AI-related tech spending. Conversely, some surveys indicate that a segment of corporate CFOs are becoming more pessimistic.
  • Consumer Behavior: Despite concerns, consumer spending at venues like restaurants and airports remains high. However, rising delinquency rates in subprime auto loans have highlighted vulnerabilities for many households.

Ultimately, while the risk of recession is elevated, it is not a certainty, with some economists projecting continued resilience through 2026.
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