Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Census: White Americans will cease to be majority by 2043

Census: White Americans will cease to be majority by 2043

U.S. will have a majority-minority population by 2043, Census predicts

The Census Bureau's newly released population projections predict that non-Hispanic, white Americans will cease to compose a majority of the population in 2043, two years after the total population exceeds 400 million people.
This highly symbolic shift to a "majority-minority" nation is due in large part to two factors: While the Hispanic population is expect to grow by 75 million people in the next 48 years, the white, non-Hispanic population will decrease—not just as a percentage of the nation, but in total numbers. According to the Census predictions, there will be 19 million fewer people in this category in 2060 than there are today, based on the age of the population and projected rates of reproduction.
Source: Census
But this demographic view of the country five decades from now can be misleading due to the way race and ethnicity are reported to the Census. Because Hispanic origin is reported independently of one's race, there will be an increasingly large number of people who fall into multiple categories. When one looks at predictions for the white and black population including those who count themselves as Hispanic or biracial, the picture looks very different:

White population, alone and in combination
Black population, alone and in combination
All of these data assume that the Census definition of race and ethnicity, and the cultural definition of race and ethnicity, remain unchanged through 2060.
"We're not making assumptions about how people might report their race in the future," says Census demographer Jennifer M. Ortman, who noted that the Census has changed the way it defines race and ethnicity in each decennial survey. These projections also do not account for any change in the incidence of babies born to parents of different races, something that is impossible to predict with any accuracy.
In 2056, the population is predicted to reach another milestone when the number of Americans over 65 outnumbers those under 18.

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Census: White Americans will cease to be majority by 2043
After the election I was writing a blog that including speculative information like this on the rate of reduction of Republican (all white voters) that likely would reduce from 72 percent to around 68 percent b the next presidential election and how (at least under present policies) the Republicans could never again statistically ever elect a  President because of the Decrease of white voters every year now compared to the rest of the electorate. But here is an article that statistically documents what I was talking about and even gives the projected year from the Census department regarding the eventual minority of white voters here in the U.S.

By the way whites became a minority in California already probably about 10 years ago now. In other words there are more people of other races besides whites that are now the majority in California for many years now.

Note: I realized the way I commented might offend some people. So, here I will try to clarify (even though in some ways it also makes everything even more confusing for everyone).

First of all, most people of another race where I live in California are considered Hispanic which is not really considered another race. But, what it really means usually is that someone from Mexico, Central or South America is usually but not always a little bit Spanish (or European) and large part Red Race (Native North or South or Central American) and any other races that might have mixed in along the way. So, when I say non- white I'm usually considering people who are part red race or Yellow race or Black Race. However, I have met many people here in California who are literally of every race. So let's say someone's father is from Central America and Part Spanish, Portugese and part Native Central American, then there father marries a person who is half Japanese (or any other Asian type of person). So that child is literally from every race on earth. But that isn't at all unusual in places like Southern California, New York, Chicago or other big cities.

For example, My relatives on my father's side came over on a ship like the Mayflower up into Philadelphia Harbor around 1725. Then they spread out to Kansas (where my great Grandparents lived and my great Grandfather was a Captain in the Civil War for the Northern Army. However, they didn't talk about things like this much but likely the lady he married (my Great Grandmother) looks a lot like in pictures that she is part native American. This might make sense because after the Civil War my Great Grandfather started a Drug Store in Kansas that he ran until 1925 when he sold it and retired. But the medicines all came originally from Indian Reservations and were gathered by native Americans. So, it is quite likely that I might be 1/32 or so native American from that.

But, then I married a lady (my first wife) who was 1/16 Iroqouis Indian, so my son must be about 1/32 Iroquois. But neither he nor I look anything but Scottish big boned tall men sort of like Vikings. I have Green eyes like a lot of Scottish men who are gifted with the second sight of a Seer and look like everyone else I saw in Scotland a year ago. I felt like I fit right in until I spoke in California English to them.

So, I guess even people who call themselves white who have been here in the U.S. more than one generation likely there children are of more than one race therefore hopefully smarter and stronger as a mixture than their parents were. So, talking about who is white and who isn't is actually quite ridiculous here in the U.S. unless you are just going by hair natural hair color, natural skin color and  natural eye color and nothing else.

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