Saturday, December 29, 2012

a 2nd Cold War?

I was thinking today that if there ever was a 2nd cold war it would not be conducted like the first one. It would be between the largest Nuclear powers and it would be a war for resources whether that be food, water, oil, technology (all these things and more) and the main instruments of that war would be money and currency exchanges, the Internet (as in syphoning money out of competing nations) and the control of the mining of precious minerals and access to good water and use of the oceans. And there would never be a nuclear war because this would be a 100 or 200 year long cold War that would be very polite and even businesslike. But no one should mistake that it might be happening right now for the next few hundred years. There would never be a nuclear war. We came much to close to that on multiple occasions in the past cold war as in the Cuban Missile Crisis and various other times. But, I think instead of calling it a 2nd Cold War maybe a better name for it might be: "The Polite War" that lasts generations.

Another really strange thing about something like this is that nationalism is on the wane. So, in the end it will become more and more like areas just competing for resources any way they can.

Nationalism in general is on the wane because of the Internet and I think that is the complaint many nations in the United Nations are addressing because the most serious end of nationalism would be in the smaller countries. The larger the country the more enthnocentric the people tend to be. For example, China and Russia and the U.S. are the three most ethnocentric nations on earth. An ethnocentric nation thinks it is the cultural center of the universe and this tends to make ethnocentric nations dangerous to each other and the world because of this. However, eventually even the biggest ethnocentric nations will start to lose nationalism more and more as well. It is inevitable because of our shrinking world in entertainment, the news, and products and Social Media worldwide.

So, just like the European Union formed it is likely other areas of the world will form more and more formal economic groupings which in the end might look a lot like something called "The World Union" based upon the needs of all nations and likely will come eventually through the United Nations and the IMF or something like that.

I wrote this as I looked into 2013 and beyond to see what was coming more as an intuitive and this is what will tend to happen as time moves on.

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