Major Flu Outbreak Could Slow US Economy Further
Yahoo! News (blog) - 1 day ago
One of the worst flu seasons in a decade is putting further strains on an already sluggish U.S. economy as companies get slammed with ...
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On average, seasonal flu outbreaks cost
U.S. employers $10.4 billion in direct costs of hospitalization and
outpatient visits, according to the Centers for Disease Control. That
doesn't include the indirect costs related to lost productivity and
worker absenteeism.
But this year, that figure is
expected to go much higher, as the flu virus has shown up in some 41
states with 29 of them reporting high or severe levels of sickness as
thousands are flooding into hospital emergency rooms and doctor's
offices.
"If this is a major influenza outbreak, like the Spanish flu of 1918, it could have a very significant effect on economic growth," said Timothy G. Nash professor in Free Market Economics at Northwood University. "If GDP is projected to be be 2 percent this year, the flu could cut that back to one half percent growth rate."
"A non-epidemic flu costs the U.S.economy with roughly 36,000 lives and causes more than 200,000 people to be hospitalized and costs our economy," Nash said. "We don't know if this is a like 1918 but we can't ignore the serious nature of what's going on."
"The last thing we need in a slow economy is a major flu epidemic," said Paul Mangiamele, CEO of the Bennigan's restaurant chain located throughout the U.S. "It's bad enough as it is without the flu taking even more customers away."
Mangiamele said his company is on "orange alert' to try and keep the flu impact to a minimum.
(More From CNBC: US Being Hit by Flu Vaccine Shortages)
There have been more than 2,257 hospitalizations associated with the flu, according to the CDC. Some 18 children in the U.S have died from it.
The city of Boston has declared a pubic health emergency as a result of the flu outbreak. Massachusetts said some 18 people have died in the state from flu related illness. South Carolina reports 22 dead so far. Two people died in Sacramento, California. In Minnesota, 900 people were hospitalized because of the flu and four people died.
(More From CNBC: It's More Than Just the Flu That's Hitting the US This Winter)
For
the fourth week in a row, the proportion of people seeing health care
providers for flu like illness is above the national average and jumped
from 2.8 percent to 5.6 percent in that time, according to the Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention. Last season's proportion peaked at
2.2 percent, the CDC reports.According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, employee absences are traditionally up during the winter flu season -- some 32 percent higher than the rest of the year. The highest number of absentees was 3.3 million in 2008 -- a severe flu season.
Employees who are sick and go into work aren't really doing their colleagues any favors, said John Challenger, CEO of Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc, an outplacement firm. (Read More Below the Video.)
"Sick employees may think they're doing the right thing by going in but the fact is they are only making matters worse by exposing themsevles to others," Challenger said.
"The business culture is changing and I think most firms are more accepting of people calling in sick, especially during the flu season," said Challenger.
"What a business should be doing is offering flu shots, and giving comp days to workers who are sick and feel like coming in. Coming in sick and doing sub par work won't really help," argued Challenger.
The predominant type of flu that is circulating is H3N2 Influenza A virus, which is making up 76 percent of the viruses reported, according to the CDC.
Doctors urges everyone six months and older to be given a flu shot or vaccine. The CDC said that that flu viruses are likely to be spread for the next two to three months. Its not too late to get the flu shot, but it takes about two weeks for it to offer full protection, said the CDC.
(More From CNBC: Flu May Deliver Limited Impact on Stocks)
For
businesses, suggestions to help cut down the affects of the flu include
limiting meetings, allow for flexible work hours, provide hand
sanitizers, enourage workers to wash their hand often, and allow workers
to stay home with out losing their jobs."Firms really need to get a flu program in place before this gets worse," Challenger said. "Otherwise they won't be productive."
If there's one consolation, the U.S has a higher quality of health care to handle a flu outbreak than the rest of the world, said Timothy Nash.
"Our health care system is much better than other countries when it comes to handling an epidemic and the economy of other countries would suffer much more than ours," said Nash.
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