Sunday, January 20, 2013

Youth Unemployment at 40 to 50 Percent Worldwide

Because of the present world unemployment rates for youth under 30, this will tend to destabilize world governments more than in the  past. For example, if this present rate of unemployment continues worldwide demographically for example for the next 20 years unabated, one could expect to see almost half of the governments in 2nd and 3rd world nations collapse. What this will mean for mankind in general is unknown. However, maybe looking at countries like Somalia and Syria and maybe Egypt and other middle Eastern nations experiencing "Arab Spring" might be a hint of what is to come. Some effects might be good for nations because of new blood taking those nations over whereas other nations might collapse and be no more. It is the nations where there will be no effective governments that the world needs to be concerned about.

The main cause of this high unemployment is basically too many people for the amount of resources on earth to cover. Therefore the effects of this overpopulation will be starvation and revolution and terrorism increasing as a direct result.

And Strangely enough, the main cause of this is good medicine worldwide. Good medicine would be good in a world of infinite resources. But we don't live there.

I thought I would share this study on how societies tend to collapse historically. And most of these scenarios revolve around overpopulation as the primary factor which is the problem the world deals with now. No amount of medicine can fix this. However, some type of universal birth control might.

Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed - Wikipedia, the ...

en.wikipedia.org/.../Collapse:_How_Societies_Choose_to_Fail_or_Su...
Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed (also titled Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Survive) is a 2005 book by Jared M. Diamond, ...

Partial Quote from above:
Diamond identifies five factors that contribute to collapse: climate change, hostile neighbors, collapse of essential trading partners, environmental problems, and failure to adapt to environmental issues.
He also lists 12 environmental problems facing mankind today. The first eight have historically contributed to the collapse of past societies:
  1. Deforestation and habitat destruction
  2. Soil problems (erosion, salinization, and soil fertility losses)
  3. Water management problems
  4. Overhunting
  5. Overfishing
  6. Effects of introduced species on native species
  7. Overpopulation
  8. Increased per-capita impact of people
Further, he says four new factors may contribute to the weakening and collapse of present and future societies:
  1. Anthropogenic climate change
  2. Buildup of toxins in the environment
  3. Energy shortages
  4. Full human utilization of the Earth’s photosynthetic capacity
Diamond also writes about cultural factors, such as the apparent reluctance of the Greenland Norse to eat fish.

Diamond says Easter Island provides the best historical example of a societal collapse in isolation
The root problem in all but one of Diamond's factors leading to collapse is overpopulation relative to the practicable (as opposed to the ideal theoretical) carrying capacity of the environment. The one factor not related to overpopulation is the harmful effect of accidentally or intentionally introducing nonnative species to a region.
Diamond also states that "it would be absurd to claim that environmental damage must be a major factor in all collapses: the collapse of the Soviet Union is a modern counter-example, and the destruction of Carthage by Rome in 146 BC is an ancient one. It's obviously true that military or economic factors alone may suffice" (p. 15).

end Partial quote from wikipedia under the heading "Collapse".

By the way, I presently see these dynamics as the single biggest Security Threat ongoing for the U.S. and all Western Developed nations, including Europe, North America, China, Russia, Brazil, Japan and all the others. To some degree, what happened in Algeria with the hostage taking is partly caused by high youth unemployment. This contributes to young people becoming terrorists in order to create a (better life) according to their beliefs. Though we in the western world might think they are wrong we did not grow up under the conditions of deprivation that they did. So, I would say the only solution I see is some type of universal Birth control. We are in a situation now like when we first started to spay and neuter pets because of roaming wild dogs killing people and livestock early in the 1900s. Though it isn't pretty to look at, it is where we are in reality now if we choose to look at it.

Though spaying and neutering humans is not the solution, a universal system of birth control might be the only way to avoid the eventual collapse of all governments at some point on earth which would lead to a possible nuclear annihilation in a war scenario or a few humans surviving and returning to cave men and cave women numbering 250,000 or less here on earth and then slowly evolving up through what we just experienced the last 40,000 years or so here on Earth already.

So, our whole world civilization is threatened this time because all these problems are aggravating each other. Because when you combine overpopulation, scarce resources with Global Warming and increasing winds, rains, drought, storms, floods etc. all together, you only get a real mess and the destabilizing and collapse of governments. In fact, the major factor involved presently in the secession movement and gun problems and financial resource problems in the U.S. presently are all the problems I have outlined here. These are the root causes to the present destabilization even to the U.S. system of government state wise as well as all the states acting together as the United States.

However, it is theoretically possible that Global warming alone might stabilize larger governments capable of surviving the onslaught of global warming as millions die from weather calamities and their aftermaths worldwide in 2nd and 3rd world weather calamities.

For example, though 300,000 homes were destroyed by Hurricane Sandy, very few people died in the calamity. This isn't usually the case in 3rd world nations when something like this happens because of poorer communication and less infrastructure. So, mother nature may have her say regarding all this too. So, no matter what mankind does or doesn't do Global Warming and mother nature will kill millions and millions of us throughout this century and beyond.

So, I guess our two problems are: Overpopulation and extreme weather changes brought about by Global Warming and Global Climate Change. However, I submit here that Overpopulation was the primary factor in causing Global Warming in the first place.

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