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Thursday, August 13, 2015
1 in 3 Odds of an over 8.0 Cascadia quake in the next 50 years
In fact, the science is robust, and one of the chief scientists behind
it is Chris Goldfinger. Thanks to work done by him and his colleagues,
we now know that the odds of the big Cascadia earthquake happening in
the next fifty years are roughly one in three. The odds of the very big
one are roughly one in ten. Even those numbers do not fully reflect the
danger—or, more to the point, how unprepared the Pacific Northwest is to
face it. The truly worrisome figures in this story are these: Thirty
years ago, no one knew that the Cascadia subduction zone had ever
produced a major earthquake. Forty-five years ago, no one even knew it
existed.
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