Thursday, November 19, 2020

S. Dakota: Active or imminent Outbreak

 


South Dakota

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RECEIVE ALERTS begin quote from:https://covidactnow.org/us/south_dakota-sd?s=1349336

COVID RISK LEVEL

Active or imminent outbreak

South Dakota is either actively experiencing an outbreak or is at extreme risk. COVID cases are exponentially growing and/or South Dakota’s COVID preparedness is significantly below international standards.

NEW FEATURE

Explore COVID Trends. View raw case, death, and hospitalization data for South Dakota and compare it against other locations in our new Trends chart. See it below

DAILY NEW CASES

161.1

PER
100K

Dangerous number of new cases

INFECTION RATE

1.06

COVID is still spreading, but slowly

POSITIVE TEST RATE

20.0%

Indicates insufficient testing

ICU HEADROOM USED

87%

High risk of hospital overload

Beta

TRACERS HIRED

5%

Too many cases and too few tracers hired

Beta

Updated November 19, 2020

Compare

COUNTIES IN SOUTH DAKOTA

COUNTY
POPULATION
DAILY NEW CASES PER 100K
INFECTION RATE
POSITIVE TEST RATE
ICU HEADROOM USED
TRACERS HIRED
1
Davison Co.
20,000
322.21.1532.2%55%---
2
Hyde Co.
1,300
296.5---28.6%------
3
Aurora Co.
2,800
296.00.9541.5%------
4
McCook Co.
5,600
291.51.0130.6%------
5
Sanborn Co.
2,300
280.40.9326.3%------
6
Dewey Co.
5,900
257.01.0015.5%------
Displaying 6 of 66
View all counties in South Dakota

Recommended actions

FOR SOUTH DAKOTA

These recommendations match the guidelines set by White House Coronavirus Task Force and Harvard Global Health Institute. Based on South Dakota's new cases per 100k in the last 7 days (899.2) and positive test rate (20.0%), people in South Dakota are advised to adhere to the following recommendations. .

Bars icon

Bars should be avoided and required to close.

Gyms icon

Gyms should be avoided and required to close.

Mask icon

Masks should be mandated and worn by everyone outside their home.

Schools icon

Schools: Enable remote learning for all students. All government levels should invest in remote learning.

Restaurants icon

​​Restaurants should max at 25% capacity. Local governments must assist in expanding outdoor dining opportunities. Customers should use take-out or eat outdoors socially distanced.

Gatherings icon

Gatherings should be limited to 10 people and physical distance should be maintained. The CDC also recommends that gatherings take place outdoors.

Please share with policy makers, business owners, and any other decision makers, especially if these recommendations don’t match reality.

Daily new cases per 100k population
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SOUTH DAKOTA

Over the last week, South Dakota has averaged 1,425 new confirmed cases per day (161.1 for every 100,000 residents). Over the next year, this translates to around 520,000 cases and an estimated 2,600,000 infections (100.0% of the population).

161.1MediumHighCriticalMar 01Mar 22Apr 12May 03May 24Jun 14Jul 05Jul 26Aug 16Sep 06Sep 27Oct 18Nov 08Nov 2911025165

Last updated 11/19/2020. Our risk levels for daily new cases are based on the “Key Metrics for Covid Suppression” by Harvard Global Health Institute and others.
When estimating the number of people who will become infected in the course of a year, we rely on the CDC’s estimate that confirmed cases represent as few as 10% of overall infections. Learn more about our methodology and our data sources.

Infection rate
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SOUTH DAKOTA

On average, each person in South Dakota with COVID is infecting 1.06 other people. Because this number is around 1.0, it means that COVID continues to spread, but in a slow and controlled fashion.

LowMediumHighCritical1.06Mar 01Mar 22Apr 12May 03May 24Jun 14Jul 05Jul 26Aug 16Sep 06Sep 27Oct 18Nov 08Nov 290.91.11.42.1

Last updated 11/19/2020. Each data point is a 14-day weighted average. We present the most recent seven days of data as a dashed line, as data is often revised by states several days after reporting. Learn more about our methodology and our data sources.

Positive test rate
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SOUTH DAKOTA

A relatively high percentage (20.0%) of COVID tests were positive, which indicates that testing in South Dakota is limited and that most cases may go undetected. At these levels, it is hard to know how fast COVID is actually spreading, and there is risk of being surprised by a second wave of disease. Caution is warranted.

LowMediumHighCritical20.0%Mar 01Mar 22Apr 12May 03May 24Jun 14Jul 05Jul 26Aug 16Sep 06Sep 27Oct 18Nov 08Nov 293%10%20%33%

Last updated 11/19/2020. The World Health Organization recommends a positive test rate of less than 10%. The countries most successful in containing COVID have rates of 3% or less. We calculate the rate as a 7-day trailing average. Learn more about our methodology and our data sources.

ICU headroom usedBeta
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SOUTH DAKOTA

South Dakota has about 150 ICU beds. Based on best available data, we estimate that 26% (39) are currently occupied by non-COVID patients. Of the 111 ICU beds remaining, 97 are needed by COVID cases, or 87% of available beds. This suggests hospitals cannot absorb a wave of new COVID infections without substantial surge capacity. Aggressive action urgently needed.

LowMediumHighCritical87%Mar 01Mar 22Apr 12May 03May 24Jun 14Jul 05Jul 26Aug 16Sep 06Sep 27Oct 18Nov 08Nov 2950%60%70%100%

Last updated 11/19/2020. Resolve to Save Lives, a pandemic think tank, recommends that hospitals maintain enough ICU capacity to double the number of COVID patients hospitalized. Learn more about our methodology and our data sources.

Tracers hiredBeta
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SOUTH DAKOTA

With 1,425 new daily cases on average, South Dakota needs an estimated 7,125 contact tracers on staff to trace each new case to a known case within 48 hours of detection. Per our best available data, South Dakota has 350 contact tracers, fulfilling only 5% of this staffing requirement. With insufficient contact tracing staff, South Dakota is unlikely to be able to successfully identify and isolate sources of disease spread fast enough to prevent new outbreaks.

LowMediumHigh5%Mar 01Mar 22Apr 12May 03May 24Jun 14Jul 05Jul 26Aug 16Sep 06Sep 27Oct 18Nov 08Nov 2910%90%100%

Last updated 11/19/2020. Experts recommend that at least 90% of contacts for each new case must be traced within 48 hours in order to contain COVID. Experts estimate that tracing each new case within 48 hours requires an average of 5 contact tracers per new case, as well as fast testing. Learn more about our methodology and our data sources (for contact tracing data, we partner with testandtrace.com). Learn about recent changes to how we assess contact tracing. We know that measuring contact tracing capacity solely by the number of staff is not reliable, and we are working on a more accurate metric to assess contact tracing capacity.

Cases, Deaths, and Hospitalizations

View COVID’s impact on counties with majority Native American populations Featured
Created on Indigenous Peoples’ Day, this feature allows you to compare all counties that are “Native American majority counties“ (NAMC) to the entire USA for two metrics: Cases and Deaths. Learn more about our methodology or view our observations.
COMPARE STATES OR COUNTIES
Cases
7 Day Average
CASES IN SOUTH DAKOTA
05001,0001,5002,000Mar 1Apr 1May 1Jun 1Jul 1Aug 1Sep 1Oct 1Today

Last updated 11/19/2020. Learn more about our data sources.

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