40 years ago I would go visit Monarch Butterflies with my children and there were literally hundreds of thousands of them at a time. Some big pine trees would have 50,000 or 100,000 on them at a time.
Now in those same places there are at most 2000 at one location and only 1000 at another location or 100 times less monarchs some places than before.
At this rate it is possible that they could be extinct by this time next year (or possibly they will recover?) It's hard to say.
However, I think it more likely that they might be extinct this time next year than anything else.
When you only see 1 percent of a species or 1 1/100th or less of a species one year do you think that they are going extinct or do you think they could come back? Even though I suppose it could go either way I would think it much more likely they would be extinct next year.
I double checked my math and it's true that 1 1/100th of a number like 100,000 is 1000 so I'm right. Just like 1 1/100th of 200,000 would be 2000.
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