Sunday, January 20, 2013

Causes of Crisis in Mali

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The current crisis has been some time in the making. A U.S. diplomatic cable from 2009 quoted a senior Algerian official, Abdelmalek Guenaizia, who complained that "the nexus of arms, drug and contraband smuggling in northern Mali created an enabling environment" for terrorists, who would "use any means available to finance their activities, including corruption and hostage-taking."
Guenaizia warned then that AQIM was increasingly capable. They "use the best explosives, have honed their bomb-making expertise and use sophisticated means to deploy explosives against their targets," he said.
AQIM comprises largely Algerians, Mauritanians and Malians. Experts say its total strength is probably in the hundreds rather than any more. But the fall of Gadhafi opened up a black market arms bazaar across North Africa, and western intelligence agencies believe AQIM may have acquired anti-aircraft missiles along with other heavy weapons, as well as plenty of vehicles, essential in a region of few (and dilapidated) roads.
As jihad became more difficult elsewhere -- from southern Yemen to the tribal territories of Pakistan -- foreign fighters also began appearing in Mali. Reports from the northeastern town of Gao in recent months said Pakistani and Saudi militants had been seen there.
There is the risk that global jihad's center of gravity could shift from South Asia to North Africa.
 
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Though it might seem unrelated at first look, I believe the unemployment picture worldwide of 40% to 50% of under 30 year olds worldwide is partly precipitating this problem. Think about young people without jobs or the financial ability to get married and to have a family. Especially young males would get angry and often resort to crime to stay fed. Once a young man has resorted to crime he might be able to be talked into almost anything including terrorism, especially in places like Africa and the Middle East.

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