Thursday, September 19, 2013

2045: Approaching the Singularity

Hey! Change is already overwhelming everyone. Floods, earthquakes, Droughts, Polar melting etc. How are we all supposed to deal with overwhelming technological and psychological and sociological change too on top of all this?

The likely answer to all this is most people won't adapt. This likely is a given at this point. But, still it will be survive or die for everyone.

My son was telling me something that likely will be somewhat horrific for the world to hear. He said that he was studying how Global Climate change predictions are showing mostly that the poorest people all over the world will be the most affected by droughts, floods and weather changes. Even yesterday and the day before we can see this:

For example, when floods hit Colorado we lost about 4 people so far even though many are still listed as missing. But, when I looked at Acapulco there were 80 deaths already because of less infrastructure in that area. And as I watched on TV foreigners from Europe and the U.S. being rescued by big jets sent from more developed countries I couldn't help but think about how many more than 80 likely will die in the Acapulco area after the floods go away because their livelihoods go away with the floods and because of waterborne diseases and accidents etc.

Then I turned my attention to how 2008 caused the firing of so very many people from factories in the U.S. because those companies couldn't afford to pay that much for their employees and stay in business and 20,000 dollar trainable on the spot (without adding software) robots that could work 24 hours a day uncomplaining for approximately 3.50 dollars an hour for 3 years non-stop. And  that those factory workers are no longer being replaced with new human factory workers throughout the U.S. This likely is cheaper than having stuff made in China at this point for U.S. companies. So, likely there will be more management jobs because of this but likely no new factory worker except for people who maintain the robots functionality ongoing. And likely these people would be a service hired from the outside of factories except in the case of the largest factories of all.

And I started to think about all the sociological ramifications of the death of unions of factory workers and the further death of the middle class in the U.S. and in developed nations that will always follow the U.S. lead out of necessity in things like this.

I thought about what are all these people without a specialized college education going to do to survive here in the U.S. and all around the developed world? Then I thought about all the truck drivers and Taxi drivers and Limousine drivers around the world that are also going to lose their jobs by 2040 or 2045 to driver less vehicles around the world.

So, approaching the singularity is something we are already doing in various ways already. Already factory workers are being eliminated as a wage earning group starting in the U.S. and then likely to other countries who want to compete better with the U.S. will be forced to do this too if they want to be able to sell their products and compete with the U.S. lower costs per unit sold.

So, as one by one all the things we are used to change faster than any of us can usually cope with likely reactions will either be delayed or be too late to make a difference for human survival.

It is this speed of change that is an enemy of individual survival. However, group survival likely will go on because at some point there will be various kinds of revolts of groups of people once they figure all this out and see their jobs have all been stolen now by robots. So, what will the future be?

Basically, it is up to all of us. If we don't fight for our future through our democratically elected representatives we won't have a future at all at this point or in the future either.

And then if I look at people who don't live in developed democracies and instead live under dictatorships I see they might have no hope at all except by moving to a developed democracy.
The change is now much too swift for any form of government to cope with. But the most likely to survive all this will be the developed democracies where people can make a difference in how things are done ongoing.

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