"The chance of Ebola spreading out of West Africa is very, very low,"
says infectious disease specialist , with St. Michael's Hospital in
Toronto. "But if it did spread, Paris is probably the first city on the
list."
Paris? Why single out that city?
To answer that, let's back up a bit.
Khan
and his team have spent years figuring out how viruses and bacteria
move around the globe. "We look at many outbreaks and decide what paths
they're going take," he tells Shots. "The big question is whether sick
people are going to get on a plane and spread the disease."
That
answer, he has found, depends largely on two factors: How many people
are infected, and the degree of travel from the outbreak area.
Take
for example, the respiratory virus that can spread through water
droplets when a person coughs or sneezes. When SARS first appeared in
2002, it was isolated to rural China. So it spread slowly.
end partial quote from:
Could The Ebola Outbreak Spread To Europe Or The US?
The reason this is the likely first stop if Ebola managed to get out of Africa is simply: proximity. If you have ever been to Paris it would be the most likely first city someone from Africa would like to see along with London. But, since London is much more expensive likely Paris would be first for someone of middle class or above monies from Africa.
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