Sunday, February 14, 2016

Even though an Ice age is counterintuitive, what about when it happens?


Here's the problem as I see it. We still have people not believing that global warming is happening or who are pretending they don't see it happening because they can make a lot of money if they don't believe in it.

Then you have people that completely believe it or somewhat believe it.

So, you have a lot of people buying property further and further north thinking that this warming is permanent. But is it?

Places like Hawaii are likely never going to have an ice age (or if they did it would be about 100 years after the rest of the northern Hemisphere was ice from about the latitude of the northern Border of Mexico northward. (By the way there would be snow and ice at higher elevations in Mexico too in places like Mexico City likely) because of the high altitude there.

But, at sea level (up to about 500 feet) you likely wouldn't have ice and snow below the Mexico border to the U.S.

Also, I think Alaska wouldn't be much worse off regarding snow than it already is.

What I'm saying here is that there might be more snow than they are used to but they are more prepared than most people are for this in the lower 48 states. (For example, if someone someplace in Alaska got 50 feet of snow they would find a way to deal with it. However, imagine 50 feet of snow in New York City or Washington DC. This would be a disaster with only helicopters and snowmobiles that would be able to save people along with dog Sleds.

So, imagine this from the High Sierras all across the nation (across the lower 48 states) and then imagine it down to about Italy and across at that Latitude too and into the middle East and Africa also at higher altitudes.

Would the nation states of the world survive this?

It would depend upon how all this came about.

Would a lot of people die from freezing to death and from starvation?

I think starvation would be the biggest problem because how would you rescue about 200 million people from snow that they could no longer drive through?

And you cannot grow food on land covered with snow (unless it is in a greenhouse).

For example, an ice age only needs about 5 to 10 feet of snow over a large area to start that doesn't melt off one summer and then by fall rain becomes snow again and so on.

So, the people in the most trouble are going to be Southern Canada and the lower 48 states from the High Sierras eastward.

I'm thinking this could happen one winter during the next 100 to 500 years at present.

All you would need is enough rain clouds and low enough temperatures for a few weeks for it to drop 10 to 20 feet of snow across the nation (which would be 10 to 20 inches rain which converts by about 1 inch of rain equals 1 foot of snow and I think we will be there within the next 10 to 20 years.

Also, the Maunder Minimum might create a "Little ice Age" but I don't think that would be "The Big one" that lasts 100,000 years or so. The Maunder Minimum hits around 2030 I believe.

And then traditionally it would stay like that for the next 100,000 years on average, even though shorter ones might happen and then melt off at first if one summer the snow doesn't melt off (but then it melts off 2 years later). But then 5 years later it doesn't melt off for 10 or 20 years in summer. Then another 20 years when it melts off. And likely it could go on like this until the snow stays longer and longer (and I think this is how an ice age would begin.

IF and when this sort of thing starts happening once, twice or three times it will get people more ready for what would be coming next. And then they might migrate south further to survive the winters better at first (like people who go to Florida and California now in Winter time.)

We even have a name in California for Canadians who do this. We call them the Snow Birds.

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